Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
19
Down 68%
$1.7K
-$959.92
Smart Money Signal
13 of 19 top traders (68%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50Β’ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$5.86 | 63% 62-37 (99) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | β | -$500 | 56% 2343-1812 (4155) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | β | -$500 | β |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $90 | $90 | +$0.45 | 52% 274-257 (531) |
38 38791873984189 | Downavg 48.9Β’ | $54.03 | $110.49 | +$56.46 | 48% 2099-2308 (4407) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Upavg 56.9Β’ | $26.76 | β | -$26.76 | 57% 4495-3324 (7819) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 89.5Β’ | $23.25 | $23.64 | +$0.39 | 66% 2096-1059 (3155) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 91.1Β’ | $21.13 | $23.2 | +$2.07 | 60% 2276-1514 (3790) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 71.7Β’ | $18.03 | $19.77 | +$1.75 | β |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 51Β’ | $9.12 | $17.67 | +$8.55 | 51% 1663-1626 (3289) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9Β’ | $16.95 | $15 | -$1.95 | 48% 803-867 (1670) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 74Β’ | $18.47 | $15.03 | -$3.44 | 53% 1476-1292 (2768) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 88.2Β’ | $25.37 | $8 | -$0.1 | 53% 1297-1168 (2465) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 70Β’ | $6.01 | $7.01 | +$1 | 52% 3991-3735 (7726) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 85Β’ | $4.3 | $5.06 | +$0.76 | 62% 2406-1470 (3876) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 7.9Β’ | $2.71 | β | -$2.71 | 39% 786-1234 (2020) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 5Β’ | $1.37 | β | -$1.37 | 33% 613-1228 (1841) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $1 | $2 | +$1 | 48% 1106-1197 (2303) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 6Β’ | $1.88 | β | -$1.88 | 52% 1537-1447 (2984) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$5.86
Record
63%
62-37 (99)
Invested
$500
Value
β
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2343-1812 (4155)
Invested
$500
Value
β
PnL
-$500
Record
β
Invested
$90
Value
$90
PnL
+$0.45
Record
52%
274-257 (531)
Invested
$54.03
Value
$110.49
PnL
+$56.46
Record
48%
2099-2308 (4407)
Invested
$26.76
Value
β
PnL
-$26.76
Record
57%
4495-3324 (7819)
Invested
$23.25
Value
$23.64
PnL
+$0.39
Record
66%
2096-1059 (3155)
Invested
$21.13
Value
$23.2
PnL
+$2.07
Record
60%
2276-1514 (3790)
Invested
$18.03
Value
$19.77
PnL
+$1.75
Record
β
Invested
$9.12
Value
$17.67
PnL
+$8.55
Record
51%
1663-1626 (3289)
Invested
$16.95
Value
$15
PnL
-$1.95
Record
48%
803-867 (1670)
Invested
$18.47
Value
$15.03
PnL
-$3.44
Record
53%
1476-1292 (2768)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$25.37
Value
$8
PnL
-$0.1
Record
53%
1297-1168 (2465)
Invested
$6.01
Value
$7.01
PnL
+$1
Record
52%
3991-3735 (7726)
Invested
$4.3
Value
$5.06
PnL
+$0.76
Record
62%
2406-1470 (3876)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.71
Value
β
PnL
-$2.71
Record
39%
786-1234 (2020)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.37
Value
β
PnL
-$1.37
Record
33%
613-1228 (1841)
Invested
$1
Value
$2
PnL
+$1
Record
48%
1106-1197 (2303)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.88
Value
β
PnL
-$1.88
Record
52%
1537-1447 (2984)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down β $1.4K
ByteBadger92
CTRUp β $0
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp β $0
devonpoll
Down β $90
38791873984189
Down β $110.49
Hcrystallash
CTRUp β $0
asdaefef
Down β $23.64
aaa221
Down β $23.2
soswald1
Down β $19.77
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $17.67