Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
21
Up 70%
$1.9K
$-1.3K
Smart Money Signal
15 of 21 top traders (71%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50Β’ | $1.5K | β | $-1.4K | 63% 62-37 (99) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2343-1812 (4155) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | β |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99Β’ | $317.49 | $320.7 | +$3.21 | 98% 2138-43 (2181) |
HC Hcrystallash | Upavg 98.3Β’ | $312.71 | $318.09 | +$5.38 | 57% 4495-3324 (7819) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 52.1Β’ | $94.6 | $95.11 | +$0.51 | 52% 274-257 (531) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 97.2Β’ | $74.69 | $76.88 | +$2.19 | 37% 598-1014 (1612) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 74.8Β’ | $73.14 | $72.38 | -$0.76 | 51% 1663-1626 (3289) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 98Β’ | $37.23 | $20 | -$16.93 | 53% 1297-1168 (2465) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 48.5Β’ | $14.55 | β | -$14.55 | 53% 1476-1292 (2768) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 53.4Β’ | $13.35 | β | -$13.35 | 46% 1190-1388 (2578) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 87Β’ | $15.42 | $15 | -$0.42 | 60% 2276-1514 (3790) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 87Β’ | $17.2 | $10 | -$7.2 | β |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 62% 1464-882 (2346) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 96Β’ | $4.8 | $5 | +$0.2 | 62% 2406-1470 (3876) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 94Β’ | $4.7 | $5 | +$0.3 | 66% 2096-1059 (3155) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 46Β’ | $2.3 | β | -$2.3 | 48% 695-751 (1446) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 53Β’ | $2.65 | $5 | +$2.35 | 47% 891-1000 (1891) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 17.8Β’ | $49.56 | β | -$49.56 | 51% 1179-1131 (2310) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 1.3Β’ | $0.7 | β | -$0.7 | 39% 786-1234 (2020) |
SU suntori | Upavg 51.8Β’ | $186.91 | $0.01 | +$170.19 | 47% 1521-1691 (3212) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
β
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
63%
62-37 (99)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2343-1812 (4155)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
β
Invested
$317.49
Value
$320.7
PnL
+$3.21
Record
98%
2138-43 (2181)
Invested
$312.71
Value
$318.09
PnL
+$5.38
Record
57%
4495-3324 (7819)
Invested
$94.6
Value
$95.11
PnL
+$0.51
Record
52%
274-257 (531)
Invested
$74.69
Value
$76.88
PnL
+$2.19
Record
37%
598-1014 (1612)
Invested
$73.14
Value
$72.38
PnL
-$0.76
Record
51%
1663-1626 (3289)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$37.23
Value
$20
PnL
-$16.93
Record
53%
1297-1168 (2465)
Invested
$14.55
Value
β
PnL
-$14.55
Record
53%
1476-1292 (2768)
Invested
$13.35
Value
β
PnL
-$13.35
Record
46%
1190-1388 (2578)
Invested
$15.42
Value
$15
PnL
-$0.42
Record
60%
2276-1514 (3790)
Invested
$17.2
Value
$10
PnL
-$7.2
Record
β
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
62%
1464-882 (2346)
Invested
$4.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.2
Record
62%
2406-1470 (3876)
Invested
$4.7
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.3
Record
66%
2096-1059 (3155)
Invested
$2.3
Value
β
PnL
-$2.3
Record
48%
695-751 (1446)
Invested
$2.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.35
Record
47%
891-1000 (1891)
Invested
$49.56
Value
β
PnL
-$49.56
Record
51%
1179-1131 (2310)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$0.7
Value
β
PnL
-$0.7
Record
39%
786-1234 (2020)
Invested
$186.91
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$170.19
Record
47%
1521-1691 (3212)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown β $0
ByteBadger92
Up β $500
QuantumPebble673
Up β $500
hoodquant
Up β $320.7
Hcrystallash
Up β $318.09
devonpoll
Up β $95.11
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up β $76.88
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $72.38

Polkadot-Frog
Up β $20
ply-pm2
CTRDown β $0