Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Down 77%
$3.1K
-$614.75
Smart Money Signal
17 of 22 top traders (77%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$6.73 | 63% 62-37 (99) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 71.5¢ | $504.7 | $706.3 | +$201.6 | 51% 1179-1131 (2310) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2343-1812 (4155) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $450 | $450 | +$24.8 | — |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 61.8¢ | $78.1 | $96.42 | +$22.93 | 51% 1663-1626 (3289) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $90 | $90 | +$1.1 | 52% 274-257 (531) |
38 38791873984189 | Downavg 45¢ | $71.73 | $159.4 | +$87.67 | 48% 2099-2308 (4407) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $59.78 | $61 | +$1.22 | 98% 2138-43 (2181) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 50.3¢ | $33.47 | $44.99 | +$11.52 | 53% 1476-1292 (2768) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 44.6¢ | $24.55 | $55 | +$30.45 | 48% 695-751 (1446) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $12 | $16 | +$4 | 46% 1190-1388 (2578) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $10.43 | $11 | +$0.57 | 57% 4495-3324 (7819) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $9.54 | $12.56 | +$3.02 | 66% 2096-1059 (3155) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $9 | $10 | +$1 | 52% 1537-1447 (2984) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 26¢ | $5.2 | — | -$5.2 | 60% 2276-1514 (3790) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 74.6¢ | $4.1 | $5.49 | +$1.39 | 62% 1464-882 (2346) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 76.4¢ | $4.05 | $5.3 | +$1.25 | 47% 1384-1531 (2915) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $4.15 | $5 | +$0.85 | 53% 1297-1168 (2465) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $3.35 | $5 | +$1.65 | 62% 2406-1470 (3876) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $2.11 | — | -$2.11 | 48% 1106-1197 (2303) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $9.2 | — | -$9.2 | 49% 1222-1296 (2518) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$6.73
Record
63%
62-37 (99)
Invested
$504.7
Value
$706.3
PnL
+$201.6
Record
51%
1179-1131 (2310)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2343-1812 (4155)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$450
Value
$450
PnL
+$24.8
Record
—
Invested
$78.1
Value
$96.42
PnL
+$22.93
Record
51%
1663-1626 (3289)
Invested
$90
Value
$90
PnL
+$1.1
Record
52%
274-257 (531)
Invested
$71.73
Value
$159.4
PnL
+$87.67
Record
48%
2099-2308 (4407)
Invested
$59.78
Value
$61
PnL
+$1.22
Record
98%
2138-43 (2181)
Invested
$33.47
Value
$44.99
PnL
+$11.52
Record
53%
1476-1292 (2768)
Invested
$24.55
Value
$55
PnL
+$30.45
Record
48%
695-751 (1446)
Invested
$12
Value
$16
PnL
+$4
Record
46%
1190-1388 (2578)
Invested
$10.43
Value
$11
PnL
+$0.57
Record
57%
4495-3324 (7819)
Invested
$9.54
Value
$12.56
PnL
+$3.02
Record
66%
2096-1059 (3155)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$9
Value
$10
PnL
+$1
Record
52%
1537-1447 (2984)
Invested
$5.2
Value
—
PnL
-$5.2
Record
60%
2276-1514 (3790)
Invested
$4.1
Value
$5.49
PnL
+$1.39
Record
62%
1464-882 (2346)
Invested
$4.05
Value
$5.3
PnL
+$1.25
Record
47%
1384-1531 (2915)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$4.15
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.85
Record
53%
1297-1168 (2465)
Invested
$3.35
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.65
Record
62%
2406-1470 (3876)
Invested
$2.11
Value
—
PnL
-$2.11
Record
48%
1106-1197 (2303)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$9.2
Value
—
PnL
-$9.2
Record
49%
1222-1296 (2518)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.4K
uninformedfloww
Down — $706.3
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp — $0
soswald1
Down — $450
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $96.42
devonpoll
Down — $90
38791873984189
Down — $159.4
hoodquant
Down — $61
ply-pm2
Down — $44.99