Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Resolved Down. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
31
Down 74%
$3.5K
-$550.33
Smart Money Signal
23 of 31 top traders (74%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 27.1¢ | $339.07 | $1.3K | +$913.93 | 48% 1106-1197 (2303) |
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.1K | 63% 62-37 (99) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 53¢ | $325.07 | $578.77 | +$272.1 | 51% 1179-1131 (2310) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2343-1812 (4155) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $450 | $434.5 | +$40.96 | — |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Downavg 74.4¢ | $227.01 | $300 | +$77.54 | 37% 598-1014 (1612) |
38 38791873984189 | Downavg 44.1¢ | $130.21 | $295.14 | +$164.93 | 48% 2099-2308 (4407) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 71.2¢ | $104.64 | $95 | +$21.02 | 53% 1297-1168 (2465) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $90 | $90 | +$1.2 | 52% 274-257 (531) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $39.35 | $83.72 | +$44.37 | 50% 3983-3986 (7969) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 37.3¢ | $27.95 | $75 | +$47.05 | 48% 695-751 (1446) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $45.54 | $46 | +$0.46 | 98% 2138-43 (2181) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 27.2¢ | $27.87 | — | -$27.87 | 53% 1476-1292 (2768) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $11.89 | $29 | +$17.11 | 53% 602-537 (1139) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 82.1¢ | $24.97 | $27.17 | +$2.2 | 39% 786-1234 (2020) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 88.1¢ | $25.65 | $26.86 | +$1.22 | 66% 2096-1059 (3155) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 64¢ | $16.98 | $26.53 | +$9.55 | 46% 1190-1388 (2578) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $21.25 | $25 | +$3.75 | 52% 1537-1447 (2984) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 83.6¢ | $16.25 | $19.44 | +$3.19 | 47% 1241-1387 (2628) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $13.2 | $15 | +$1.8 | 74% 984-344 (1328) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 93.2¢ | $11.56 | $12.4 | +$0.84 | 47% 1384-1531 (2915) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 81.3¢ | $12.16 | $12 | +$1.94 | 62% 2406-1470 (3876) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $2.7 | $7.94 | +$5.24 | 57% 4495-3324 (7819) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 38.1¢ | $25.64 | — | -$15.37 | 60% 2276-1514 (3790) |
Invested
$339.07
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$913.93
Record
48%
1106-1197 (2303)
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
63%
62-37 (99)
Invested
$325.07
Value
$578.77
PnL
+$272.1
Record
51%
1179-1131 (2310)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2343-1812 (4155)
Invested
$450
Value
$434.5
PnL
+$40.96
Record
—
Invested
$227.01
Value
$300
PnL
+$77.54
Record
37%
598-1014 (1612)
Invested
$130.21
Value
$295.14
PnL
+$164.93
Record
48%
2099-2308 (4407)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$104.64
Value
$95
PnL
+$21.02
Record
53%
1297-1168 (2465)
Invested
$90
Value
$90
PnL
+$1.2
Record
52%
274-257 (531)
Invested
$39.35
Value
$83.72
PnL
+$44.37
Record
50%
3983-3986 (7969)
Invested
$27.95
Value
$75
PnL
+$47.05
Record
48%
695-751 (1446)
Invested
$45.54
Value
$46
PnL
+$0.46
Record
98%
2138-43 (2181)
Invested
$27.87
Value
—
PnL
-$27.87
Record
53%
1476-1292 (2768)
Invested
$11.89
Value
$29
PnL
+$17.11
Record
53%
602-537 (1139)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$24.97
Value
$27.17
PnL
+$2.2
Record
39%
786-1234 (2020)
Invested
$25.65
Value
$26.86
PnL
+$1.22
Record
66%
2096-1059 (3155)
Invested
$16.98
Value
$26.53
PnL
+$9.55
Record
46%
1190-1388 (2578)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$21.25
Value
$25
PnL
+$3.75
Record
52%
1537-1447 (2984)
Invested
$16.25
Value
$19.44
PnL
+$3.19
Record
47%
1241-1387 (2628)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$13.2
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.8
Record
74%
984-344 (1328)
Invested
$11.56
Value
$12.4
PnL
+$0.84
Record
47%
1384-1531 (2915)
Invested
$12.16
Value
$12
PnL
+$1.94
Record
62%
2406-1470 (3876)
Invested
$2.7
Value
$7.94
PnL
+$5.24
Record
57%
4495-3324 (7819)
Invested
$25.64
Value
—
PnL
-$15.37
Record
60%
2276-1514 (3790)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $1.3K
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
uninformedfloww
Down — $578.77
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
soswald1
Down — $434.5
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down — $300
38791873984189
Down — $295.14
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $95
devonpoll
Down — $90