Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
17
Up 53%
$1.2K
$-1.5K
Smart Money Signal
9 of 17 top traders (53%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.5K | 63% 54-32 (86) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2343-1812 (4155) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $90 | $90 | +$0 | 51% 262-252 (514) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 61.1¢ | $39.45 | $30 | -$0.05 | 53% 1280-1152 (2432) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $11.78 | $12 | +$0.22 | 47% 1362-1519 (2881) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $13.01 | $9.75 | -$3.26 | 47% 878-987 (1865) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $4.92 | $6.15 | +$1.23 | 67% 2068-1040 (3108) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $5.94 | $6.06 | +$0.12 | 62% 1439-874 (2313) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $4.29 | — | -$4.29 | 52% 3971-3716 (7687) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $13.5 | — | -$13.5 | 74% 958-340 (1298) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 39% 770-1217 (1987) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $23.01 | — | -$2.91 | 62% 2374-1448 (3822) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 51.4¢ | $6.33 | — | -$6.33 | 48% 1091-1180 (2271) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $0.7 | — | -$0.7 | 51% 1519-1433 (2952) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 24.4¢ | $1.92 | — | -$1.92 | 53% 1455-1279 (2734) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $1.83 | — | -$1.83 | 48% 2083-2293 (4376) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
63%
54-32 (86)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2343-1812 (4155)
Invested
$90
Value
$90
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
262-252 (514)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$39.45
Value
$30
PnL
-$0.05
Record
53%
1280-1152 (2432)
Invested
$11.78
Value
$12
PnL
+$0.22
Record
47%
1362-1519 (2881)
Invested
$13.01
Value
$9.75
PnL
-$3.26
Record
47%
878-987 (1865)
Invested
$4.92
Value
$6.15
PnL
+$1.23
Record
67%
2068-1040 (3108)
Invested
$5.94
Value
$6.06
PnL
+$0.12
Record
62%
1439-874 (2313)
Invested
$4.29
Value
—
PnL
-$4.29
Record
52%
3971-3716 (7687)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$13.5
Value
—
PnL
-$13.5
Record
74%
958-340 (1298)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
39%
770-1217 (1987)
Invested
$23.01
Value
—
PnL
-$2.91
Record
62%
2374-1448 (3822)
Invested
$6.33
Value
—
PnL
-$6.33
Record
48%
1091-1180 (2271)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.7
Value
—
PnL
-$0.7
Record
51%
1519-1433 (2952)
Invested
$1.92
Value
—
PnL
-$1.92
Record
53%
1455-1279 (2734)
Invested
$1.83
Value
—
PnL
-$1.83
Record
48%
2083-2293 (4376)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
QuantumPebble673
Down — $500
ByteBadger92
Down — $500
devonpoll
Down — $90
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $30
dvasdkasodk
Down — $12
rabadabadoo
Down — $9.75
asdaefef
Down — $6.15
asidjasiodja
Down — $6.06
blue.birds
CTRUp — $0