Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 39% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Down 41%
$1.7K
$-1.1K
Smart Money Signal
9 of 23 top traders (39%)14 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | -$4.58 | 64% 48-27 (75) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2341-1812 (4153) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 82.2¢ | $96.27 | $88.99 | -$7.28 | 52% 3955-3700 (7655) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98.6¢ | $62.43 | $63.33 | +$0.9 | 98% 2120-43 (2163) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 81.7¢ | $13.82 | $14.9 | +$1.07 | 53% 1437-1267 (2704) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 93.3¢ | $18.7 | $20.05 | +$1.35 | 47% 783-880 (1663) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $10.6 | $10 | -$0.6 | 51% 1494-1420 (2914) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 74.5¢ | $7.6 | $10.21 | +$2.61 | 67% 2047-1024 (3071) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 79.5¢ | $8.95 | $10 | +$1.05 | 53% 1264-1138 (2402) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 44.5¢ | $8.02 | — | -$8.02 | 48% 1079-1166 (2245) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 25.6¢ | $13.1 | — | -$7.91 | 62% 2344-1434 (3778) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $6.65 | $5.05 | -$1.6 | 47% 1342-1509 (2851) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $1.94 | — | -$1.94 | 48% 784-863 (1647) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.84 | — | -$0.84 | 39% 760-1197 (1957) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $0.35 | — | -$0.35 | 48% 1183-1263 (2446) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 25.1¢ | $82.12 | — | -$82.12 | 50% 1101-1104 (2205) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 37% 417-704 (1121) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.5¢ | $6.2 | — | -$6.2 | 44% 1174-1476 (2650) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.15 | — | -$0.15 | 33% 596-1191 (1787) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 25.8¢ | $7.72 | — | -$7.72 | 47% 868-975 (1843) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 47% 1200-1358 (2558) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $0 | — | -$0 | 60% 2210-1484 (3694) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
-$4.58
Record
64%
48-27 (75)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2341-1812 (4153)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$96.27
Value
$88.99
PnL
-$7.28
Record
52%
3955-3700 (7655)
Invested
$62.43
Value
$63.33
PnL
+$0.9
Record
98%
2120-43 (2163)
Invested
$13.82
Value
$14.9
PnL
+$1.07
Record
53%
1437-1267 (2704)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$18.7
Value
$20.05
PnL
+$1.35
Record
47%
783-880 (1663)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$10.6
Value
$10
PnL
-$0.6
Record
51%
1494-1420 (2914)
Invested
$7.6
Value
$10.21
PnL
+$2.61
Record
67%
2047-1024 (3071)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$8.95
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.05
Record
53%
1264-1138 (2402)
Invested
$8.02
Value
—
PnL
-$8.02
Record
48%
1079-1166 (2245)
Invested
$13.1
Value
—
PnL
-$7.91
Record
62%
2344-1434 (3778)
Invested
$6.65
Value
$5.05
PnL
-$1.6
Record
47%
1342-1509 (2851)
Invested
$1.94
Value
—
PnL
-$1.94
Record
48%
784-863 (1647)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$0.84
Value
—
PnL
-$0.84
Record
39%
760-1197 (1957)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$0.35
Value
—
PnL
-$0.35
Record
48%
1183-1263 (2446)
Invested
$82.12
Value
—
PnL
-$82.12
Record
50%
1101-1104 (2205)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
37%
417-704 (1121)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$6.2
Value
—
PnL
-$6.2
Record
44%
1174-1476 (2650)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.15
Value
—
PnL
-$0.15
Record
33%
596-1191 (1787)
Invested
$7.72
Value
—
PnL
-$7.72
Record
47%
868-975 (1843)
Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
47%
1200-1358 (2558)
Invested
$0
Value
—
PnL
-$0
Record
60%
2210-1484 (3694)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.4K
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp — $0
blue.birds
Down — $88.99
hoodquant
Down — $63.33
ply-pm2
Down — $14.9
cryingbabydicer87
Down — $20.05
MayorMamdani
Down — $10
asdaefef
Down — $10.21
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $10