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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Resolved Up. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 80%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.0K

Combined PnL

$1.52

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 11 top traders (82%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up9 traders

Total Value$1.5K

Total Shares1,485

Combined PnL+$10.3

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares167

Combined PnL-$8.78

Up — 82%Down — 18%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	-$0.34	64% 48-27 (75)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$740.5	—	-$740.94
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$740	$1.5K	+$740.6
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	56% 2341-1812 (4153)
QU QuantumPebble673	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	—
HC Hcrystallash	Upavg 99¢	$354.42	$358	+$3.58	57% 4476-3317 (7793)
DE devonpoll<$100	Upavg 50¢	$90	$90	+$0	51% 254-244 (498)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 75¢	$14.45	$15	+$0.55	53% 1437-1267 (2704)
RA rabadabadoo<$100	Upavg 58.5¢	$9.81	$10	+$0.19	47% 868-975 (1843)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Downavg 23.9¢	$6.03	—	-$6.03	52% 3955-3700 (7655)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 59.3¢	$4.27	$7.2	+$2.93	67% 2047-1024 (3071)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 39¢	$1.95	$5	+$3.05	62% 2344-1434 (3778)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 1.9¢	$2.75	—	-$2.75	39% 760-1197 (1957)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Upavg 96¢	$0.02	$0.02	+$0	53% 1264-1138 (2402)

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.5K

PnL

-$0.34

Record

64%

48-27 (75)

Both legs:

Down$740.550¢-$740.94

Up$74050¢+$740.6

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

2341-1812 (4153)

QuantumPebble673

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

—

Invested

$354.42

Value

$358

PnL

+$3.58

Record

57%

4476-3317 (7793)

Invested

$90

Value

$90

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

254-244 (498)

Invested

$14.45

Value

$15

PnL

+$0.55

Record

53%

1437-1267 (2704)

rabadabadoo<$100

Invested

$9.81

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.19

Record

47%

868-975 (1843)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$6.03

Value

—

PnL

-$6.03

Record

52%

3955-3700 (7655)

Invested

$4.27

Value

$7.2

PnL

+$2.93

Record

67%

2047-1024 (3071)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$1.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$3.05

Record

62%

2344-1434 (3778)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$2.75

Value

—

PnL

-$2.75

Record

39%

760-1197 (1957)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$0.02

Value

$0.02

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

1264-1138 (2402)

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 11 top traders (82%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x352966b6...e5259b

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1794478500

Traders in this Market

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b

Arbitrage — excluded

ByteBadger92

Up — $500

QuantumPebble673

Up — $500

Hcrystallash

Up — $358

devonpoll

Up — $90

ply-pm2

Up — $15

rabadabadoo

Up — $10

blue.birds

Down — $0

asdaefef

Up — $7.2

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $5

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