Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 53%
$1.8K
$-1.1K
Smart Money Signal
10 of 19 top traders (53%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$0.97 | 64% 48-27 (75) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2341-1812 (4153) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $90 | $90 | +$0.6 | 51% 254-244 (498) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 44.5¢ | $56.51 | — | -$56.51 | 48% 1079-1166 (2245) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 94.9¢ | $49.35 | $52 | +$2.65 | 39% 760-1197 (1957) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 85.3¢ | $42.9 | $47 | +$4.1 | 52% 3955-3700 (7655) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 77.4¢ | $32.13 | $38.03 | +$5.9 | 51% 1641-1598 (3239) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $30 | — | -$30 | 53% 1264-1138 (2402) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 79.8¢ | $19.84 | $23.54 | +$3.7 | 53% 1437-1267 (2704) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 18.5¢ | $20.65 | — | -$20.65 | 50% 1101-1104 (2205) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 86.5¢ | $15.86 | $16.31 | +$1.47 | 67% 2047-1024 (3071) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $4.65 | $5 | +$0.35 | 62% 2344-1434 (3778) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.3¢ | $2.38 | — | -$2.38 | 48% 1183-1263 (2446) |
FL flippingsharks<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $4 | $5 | +$1 | 37% 417-704 (1121) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 46% 1152-1359 (2511) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $1.33 | $1.43 | +$0.1 | 33% 596-1191 (1787) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $4.79 | — | -$4.79 | 47% 868-975 (1843) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $1.47 | — | -$1.47 | 47% 1342-1509 (2851) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$0.97
Record
64%
48-27 (75)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2341-1812 (4153)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$90
Value
$90
PnL
+$0.6
Record
51%
254-244 (498)
Invested
$56.51
Value
—
PnL
-$56.51
Record
48%
1079-1166 (2245)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$49.35
Value
$52
PnL
+$2.65
Record
39%
760-1197 (1957)
Invested
$42.9
Value
$47
PnL
+$4.1
Record
52%
3955-3700 (7655)
Invested
$32.13
Value
$38.03
PnL
+$5.9
Record
51%
1641-1598 (3239)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$30
Value
—
PnL
-$30
Record
53%
1264-1138 (2402)
Invested
$19.84
Value
$23.54
PnL
+$3.7
Record
53%
1437-1267 (2704)
Invested
$20.65
Value
—
PnL
-$20.65
Record
50%
1101-1104 (2205)
Invested
$15.86
Value
$16.31
PnL
+$1.47
Record
67%
2047-1024 (3071)
Invested
$4.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.35
Record
62%
2344-1434 (3778)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.38
Value
—
PnL
-$2.38
Record
48%
1183-1263 (2446)
Invested
$4
Value
$5
PnL
+$1
Record
37%
417-704 (1121)
Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
46%
1152-1359 (2511)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$1.33
Value
$1.43
PnL
+$0.1
Record
33%
596-1191 (1787)
Invested
$4.79
Value
—
PnL
-$4.79
Record
47%
868-975 (1843)
Invested
$1.47
Value
—
PnL
-$1.47
Record
47%
1342-1509 (2851)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.5K
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp — $0
devonpoll
Down — $90
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $52
blue.birds
Down — $47
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $38.03
Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm2
Down — $23.54