Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Up 52%
1 arb excluded
$3.3K
-$43.92
Smart Money Signal
11 of 22 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$11.84 | 65% 33-18 (51) |
HC Hcrystallash | Upavg 99¢ | $624.69 | $631 | +$6.31 | 57% 4456-3312 (7768) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.2¢ | $520.4 | $502.95 | -$0.86 | 57% 2288-1755 (4043) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.2¢ | $252.46 | $502.95 | +$251.19 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.8¢ | $251.43 | — | -$252.05 | |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 54.7¢ | $50.86 | $52.78 | +$1.92 | 52% 3913-3669 (7582) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 90.1¢ | $54.13 | $49.42 | -$4.71 | 53% 1405-1239 (2644) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 58.7¢ | $48.15 | $30 | -$3.15 | 53% 1239-1097 (2336) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $17.86 | $38.86 | +$21 | 48% 1046-1143 (2189) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 37.1¢ | $16.5 | — | -$16.5 | 47% 843-952 (1795) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $20.32 | $18 | -$2.32 | 66% 1988-1002 (2990) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $13.65 | $15.17 | +$1.52 | 44% 1135-1448 (2583) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $11.15 | — | -$11.15 | 50% 1050-1060 (2110) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $11.4 | $10 | -$1.4 | 62% 2279-1406 (3685) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 57¢ | $8.55 | $15 | +$6.45 | 48% 1146-1235 (2381) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $3.9 | — | -$3.9 | 62% 1374-851 (2225) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 13.5¢ | $4.71 | — | -$4.71 | 51% 1455-1384 (2839) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $1.9 | — | -$1.9 | 47% 1308-1484 (2792) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 7.4¢ | $1.7 | — | -$1.7 | 33% 583-1160 (1743) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $9.6 | — | -$9.28 | 60% 2157-1447 (3604) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 37% 778-1309 (2087) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $2.72 | — | -$2.72 | 39% 737-1162 (1899) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $10.8 | — | -$10.8 | 46% 1117-1330 (2447) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 54.4¢ | $20.54 | — | -$18.65 | 47% 1458-1629 (3087) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$11.84
Record
65%
33-18 (51)
Invested
$624.69
Value
$631
PnL
+$6.31
Record
57%
4456-3312 (7768)
Invested
$520.4
Value
$502.95
PnL
-$0.86
Record
57%
2288-1755 (4043)
Both legs:
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$50.86
Value
$52.78
PnL
+$1.92
Record
52%
3913-3669 (7582)
Invested
$54.13
Value
$49.42
PnL
-$4.71
Record
53%
1405-1239 (2644)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$48.15
Value
$30
PnL
-$3.15
Record
53%
1239-1097 (2336)
Invested
$17.86
Value
$38.86
PnL
+$21
Record
48%
1046-1143 (2189)
Invested
$16.5
Value
—
PnL
-$16.5
Record
47%
843-952 (1795)
Invested
$20.32
Value
$18
PnL
-$2.32
Record
66%
1988-1002 (2990)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$13.65
Value
$15.17
PnL
+$1.52
Record
44%
1135-1448 (2583)
Invested
$11.15
Value
—
PnL
-$11.15
Record
50%
1050-1060 (2110)
Invested
$11.4
Value
$10
PnL
-$1.4
Record
62%
2279-1406 (3685)
ohioism<$100Invested
$8.55
Value
$15
PnL
+$6.45
Record
48%
1146-1235 (2381)
Invested
$3.9
Value
—
PnL
-$3.9
Record
62%
1374-851 (2225)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$4.71
Value
—
PnL
-$4.71
Record
51%
1455-1384 (2839)
Invested
$1.9
Value
—
PnL
-$1.9
Record
47%
1308-1484 (2792)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.7
Value
—
PnL
-$1.7
Record
33%
583-1160 (1743)
Invested
$9.6
Value
—
PnL
-$9.28
Record
60%
2157-1447 (3604)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
37%
778-1309 (2087)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.72
Value
—
PnL
-$2.72
Record
39%
737-1162 (1899)
Invested
$10.8
Value
—
PnL
-$10.8
Record
46%
1117-1330 (2447)
Invested
$20.54
Value
—
PnL
-$18.65
Record
47%
1458-1629 (3087)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.5K
Hcrystallash
Up — $631
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
blue.birds
Up — $52.78
ply-pm2
Up — $49.42
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $30
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $38.86
rabadabadoo
CTRDown — $0
asdaefef
Up — $18