Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Up 81%
1 arb excluded
$4.0K
$82.41
Smart Money Signal
17 of 23 top traders (74%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | +$4.03 | 65% 33-18 (51) |
HC Hcrystallash | Upavg 99¢ | $624.69 | $631 | +$6.31 | 57% 4456-3312 (7768) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.2¢ | $504.22 | $505 | +$4.18 | 57% 2288-1755 (4043) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.2¢ | $253.65 | $505 | +$251.35 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $245.57 | — | -$247.17 | |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98¢ | $337.12 | $344 | +$6.88 | 98% 2103-43 (2146) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 82.9¢ | $168.54 | $203.23 | +$34.68 | 50% 1050-1060 (2110) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 92.1¢ | $133.95 | $144 | +$10.05 | 33% 583-1160 (1743) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $54.34 | $55.45 | +$1.11 | 39% 737-1162 (1899) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Upavg 88¢ | $29.69 | $33.74 | +$4.05 | 46% 718-833 (1551) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 92.5¢ | $93.5 | $30 | +$5.35 | 53% 1239-1097 (2336) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 84.7¢ | $47.04 | $32.64 | +$1.32 | 60% 2157-1447 (3604) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 68.8¢ | $38.45 | $31.52 | +$8.07 | 53% 1405-1239 (2644) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 52.7¢ | $21.65 | $41.05 | +$19.4 | 48% 1046-1143 (2189) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 64¢ | $22.93 | $15 | +$4.52 | 52% 3913-3669 (7582) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $13.48 | — | -$13.48 | 37% 415-693 (1108) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 96.2¢ | $12.51 | $13 | +$0.49 | 51% 1455-1384 (2839) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 84.8¢ | $10.36 | $12.22 | +$1.86 | 66% 1988-1002 (2990) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $4.8 | $5 | +$0.2 | 62% 1374-851 (2225) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $3.4 | $5 | +$1.6 | 74% 910-315 (1225) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $2.85 | — | -$2.85 | 44% 1135-1448 (2583) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 27¢ | $1.47 | — | -$1.47 | 47% 843-952 (1795) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $0.07 | — | -$0.07 | 47% 1159-1332 (2491) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 27¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 62% 2279-1406 (3685) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 17.8¢ | $9.34 | — | -$8.29 | 47% 1458-1629 (3087) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$4.03
Record
65%
33-18 (51)
Invested
$624.69
Value
$631
PnL
+$6.31
Record
57%
4456-3312 (7768)
Invested
$504.22
Value
$505
PnL
+$4.18
Record
57%
2288-1755 (4043)
Both legs:
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$337.12
Value
$344
PnL
+$6.88
Record
98%
2103-43 (2146)
Invested
$168.54
Value
$203.23
PnL
+$34.68
Record
50%
1050-1060 (2110)
pspspsps5Invested
$133.95
Value
$144
PnL
+$10.05
Record
33%
583-1160 (1743)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$54.34
Value
$55.45
PnL
+$1.11
Record
39%
737-1162 (1899)
Invested
$29.69
Value
$33.74
PnL
+$4.05
Record
46%
718-833 (1551)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$93.5
Value
$30
PnL
+$5.35
Record
53%
1239-1097 (2336)
Invested
$47.04
Value
$32.64
PnL
+$1.32
Record
60%
2157-1447 (3604)
Invested
$38.45
Value
$31.52
PnL
+$8.07
Record
53%
1405-1239 (2644)
Invested
$21.65
Value
$41.05
PnL
+$19.4
Record
48%
1046-1143 (2189)
Invested
$22.93
Value
$15
PnL
+$4.52
Record
52%
3913-3669 (7582)
Invested
$13.48
Value
—
PnL
-$13.48
Record
37%
415-693 (1108)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$12.51
Value
$13
PnL
+$0.49
Record
51%
1455-1384 (2839)
Invested
$10.36
Value
$12.22
PnL
+$1.86
Record
66%
1988-1002 (2990)
Invested
$4.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.2
Record
62%
1374-851 (2225)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$3.4
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.6
Record
74%
910-315 (1225)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.85
Value
—
PnL
-$2.85
Record
44%
1135-1448 (2583)
Invested
$1.47
Value
—
PnL
-$1.47
Record
47%
843-952 (1795)
Invested
$0.07
Value
—
PnL
-$0.07
Record
47%
1159-1332 (2491)
Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
62%
2279-1406 (3685)
Invested
$9.34
Value
—
PnL
-$8.29
Record
47%
1458-1629 (3087)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.4K
Hcrystallash
Up — $631
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
hoodquant
Up — $344
uninformedfloww
Up — $203.23
pspspsps5
Up — $144
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $55.45
mo-money
Up — $33.74
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $30