Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Down 75%
$1.8K
-$990.54
Smart Money Signal
12 of 16 top traders (75%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$2.1 | 61% 23-15 (38) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 57% 2260-1719 (3979) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $90 | $90 | +$0.25 | 50% 224-222 (446) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 80.7¢ | $68.6 | $85 | +$16.4 | 50% 1033-1042 (2075) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 94.3¢ | $52.58 | $55.75 | +$3.17 | 39% 722-1145 (1867) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $49.5 | $50 | +$0.5 | 44% 1127-1429 (2556) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $23.75 | $25 | +$1.25 | 47% 1150-1313 (2463) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 92.8¢ | $16.11 | $16.24 | +$0.13 | 67% 1964-988 (2952) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $8.42 | $10.56 | +$2.14 | 53% 1383-1227 (2610) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $5.2 | $10.2 | +$5 | 48% 1035-1129 (2164) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.8¢ | $4.3 | — | -$4.3 | 52% 3892-3651 (7543) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $4.55 | $5 | +$0.45 | 62% 2249-1386 (3635) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 90.6¢ | $7.83 | $3.64 | +$0.31 | 53% 1222-1079 (2301) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $2.45 | $5 | +$2.55 | 53% 560-498 (1058) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $20.48 | — | -$20.48 | 38% 576-948 (1524) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$2.1
Record
61%
23-15 (38)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
57%
2260-1719 (3979)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$90
Value
$90
PnL
+$0.25
Record
50%
224-222 (446)
Invested
$68.6
Value
$85
PnL
+$16.4
Record
50%
1033-1042 (2075)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$52.58
Value
$55.75
PnL
+$3.17
Record
39%
722-1145 (1867)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$49.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$0.5
Record
44%
1127-1429 (2556)
Invested
$23.75
Value
$25
PnL
+$1.25
Record
47%
1150-1313 (2463)
Invested
$16.11
Value
$16.24
PnL
+$0.13
Record
67%
1964-988 (2952)
Invested
$8.42
Value
$10.56
PnL
+$2.14
Record
53%
1383-1227 (2610)
Invested
$5.2
Value
$10.2
PnL
+$5
Record
48%
1035-1129 (2164)
Invested
$4.3
Value
—
PnL
-$4.3
Record
52%
3892-3651 (7543)
Invested
$4.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.45
Record
62%
2249-1386 (3635)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$7.83
Value
$3.64
PnL
+$0.31
Record
53%
1222-1079 (2301)
Invested
$2.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.55
Record
53%
560-498 (1058)
Invested
$20.48
Value
—
PnL
-$20.48
Record
38%
576-948 (1524)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down — $1.5K
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp — $0
devonpoll
Down — $90
uninformedfloww
Down — $85
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $55.75
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $50
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $25
asdaefef
Down — $16.24
ply-pm2
Down — $10.56