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Consensus Won βœ“

Smart money consensus was Up β€” and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Resolved Up. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

πŸ†

Won

Consensus Traders

15

Up 53%

4 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.7K

Combined PnL

-$64.89

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 15 top traders (53%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares288
Combined PnL-$94.92
Up8 traders
Total Value$113.03
Total Shares113
Combined PnL+$30.03
Down β€” 47%Up β€” 53%
0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100
Down

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.5K

PnL

-$1.54

Record

61%

23-15 (38)

Both legs:

Down$730.2950Β’-$739.09
Up$729.8150Β’+$737.55
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$502.4

Value

$497.97

PnL

-$3.31

Record

57%

2260-1719 (3979)

Both legs:

Down$252.449.5Β’-$252.4
Up$248.9950Β’+$249.09
QU
QuantumPebble673ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

β€”

Both legs:

Down$25050Β’-$250
Up$25050Β’+$250
DE
devonpollARB<$100
Up

Invested

$99

Value

$95.11

PnL

-$1.49

Record

50%

224-222 (446)

Both legs:

Up$51.353.9Β’+$43.51
Down$4550Β’-$45
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$66.23

Value

β€”

PnL

-$16.28

Record

53%

1222-1079 (2301)

BL
blue.birdsCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$22.62

Value

β€”

PnL

-$22.62

Record

52%

3892-3651 (7543)

RA
rabadabadoo<$100
Up

Invested

$23.16

Value

$23.62

PnL

+$0.46

Record

47%

832-938 (1770)

BoneOhio<$100
Up

Invested

$15.34

Value

$15

PnL

-$0.34

Record

74%

897-310 (1207)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$11.67

Value

$10

PnL

-$1.67

Record

62%

2249-1386 (3635)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$11.42

Value

$22.76

PnL

+$11.34

Record

60%

2128-1425 (3553)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$8.8

Value

$20

PnL

+$11.2

Record

48%

1128-1223 (2351)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$12.02

Value

$11

PnL

-$1.02

Record

67%

1964-988 (2952)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$8.4

Value

β€”

PnL

-$8.4

Record

53%

1383-1227 (2610)

SU
suntori<$100
Up

Invested

$11.55

Value

$4.65

PnL

+$8.5

Record

47%

1449-1613 (3062)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$4.44

Value

$6

PnL

+$1.56

Record

39%

722-1145 (1867)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.2

Value

β€”

PnL

-$3.2

Record

46%

1103-1315 (2418)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.15

Value

β€”

PnL

-$0.15

Record

51%

1437-1363 (2800)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$41.45

Value

β€”

PnL

-$41.45

Record

50%

1033-1042 (2075)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.82

Value

β€”

PnL

-$2.82

Record

47%

1289-1465 (2754)