Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
17
Down 47%
$2.6K
-$73.54
Smart Money Signal
8 of 17 top traders (47%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50Β’ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$0.66 | 61% 23-15 (38) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Downavg 50Β’ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | β |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50Β’ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 57% 2260-1719 (3979) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $90 | $90 | -$0 | 50% 224-222 (446) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 41.1Β’ | $54.86 | β | -$35.06 | 53% 1222-1079 (2301) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 95Β’ | $25.65 | $27 | +$1.35 | 39% 722-1145 (1867) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 56Β’ | $8.4 | $15 | +$6.6 | 53% 1383-1227 (2610) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 92.3Β’ | $12.32 | $13.34 | +$1.02 | 67% 1964-988 (2952) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 84Β’ | $4.2 | $5 | +$0.8 | 62% 2249-1386 (3635) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $3 | β | -$3 | 38% 576-948 (1524) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 17.6Β’ | $9.03 | β | -$6.54 | 52% 3892-3651 (7543) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 18.9Β’ | $4.43 | β | -$4.43 | 47% 832-938 (1770) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.8Β’ | $1.93 | β | -$1.93 | 51% 1437-1363 (2800) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 52Β’ | $4.82 | β | -$4.82 | 48% 1035-1129 (2164) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 48Β’ | $3.69 | β | -$3.69 | 60% 2128-1425 (3553) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 19Β’ | $16 | β | -$16 | 50% 1033-1042 (2075) |
![]() BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 17Β’ | $8.5 | β | -$8.5 | 74% 897-310 (1207) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$0.66
Record
61%
23-15 (38)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
β
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
2260-1719 (3979)
Invested
$90
Value
$90
PnL
-$0
Record
50%
224-222 (446)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$54.86
Value
β
PnL
-$35.06
Record
53%
1222-1079 (2301)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$25.65
Value
$27
PnL
+$1.35
Record
39%
722-1145 (1867)
Invested
$8.4
Value
$15
PnL
+$6.6
Record
53%
1383-1227 (2610)
Invested
$12.32
Value
$13.34
PnL
+$1.02
Record
67%
1964-988 (2952)
Invested
$4.2
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.8
Record
62%
2249-1386 (3635)
Invested
$3
Value
β
PnL
-$3
Record
38%
576-948 (1524)
Invested
$9.03
Value
β
PnL
-$6.54
Record
52%
3892-3651 (7543)
Invested
$4.43
Value
β
PnL
-$4.43
Record
47%
832-938 (1770)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.93
Value
β
PnL
-$1.93
Record
51%
1437-1363 (2800)
Invested
$4.82
Value
β
PnL
-$4.82
Record
48%
1035-1129 (2164)
Invested
$3.69
Value
β
PnL
-$3.69
Record
60%
2128-1425 (3553)
Invested
$16
Value
β
PnL
-$16
Record
50%
1033-1042 (2075)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$8.5
Value
β
PnL
-$8.5
Record
74%
897-310 (1207)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down β $1.5K
QuantumPebble673
Down β $500
ByteBadger92
Down β $500
devonpoll
Down β $90

Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp β $0

OhioRiskManagement
Down β $27
ply-pm2
Down β $15
asdaefef
Down β $13.34
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $5
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRUp β $0