Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
20
Down 55%
$2.9K
$-2.0K
Smart Money Signal
11 of 20 top traders (55%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50Β’ | $1.5K | β | $-1.5K | 63% 19-11 (30) |
![]() BoneOhio | Downavg 99Β’ | $990 | $1.0K | +$10 | 74% 880-306 (1186) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99Β’ | $699.88 | $706.95 | +$7.07 | 48% 754-833 (1587) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 99Β’ | $624.69 | $631 | +$6.31 | 57% 4445-3303 (7748) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | β | -$500 | β |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.8Β’ | $508.9 | $500 | +$0 | 57% 2241-1691 (3932) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 32.4Β’ | $43 | β | -$39.05 | 53% 1210-1069 (2279) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 88Β’ | $17.26 | $15 | -$2.26 | 53% 1371-1214 (2585) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 90Β’ | $13.36 | $14.84 | +$1.48 | 60% 2106-1411 (3517) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 90.8Β’ | $12.11 | $13.34 | +$1.23 | 67% 1947-979 (2926) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 71Β’ | $10.65 | $15 | +$4.35 | 46% 1093-1302 (2395) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 92Β’ | $6.65 | $7.23 | +$0.58 | 62% 1338-834 (2172) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 98% 2083-42 (2125) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 47Β’ | $4.23 | $9 | +$4.77 | 53% 554-495 (1049) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 30Β’ | $5.91 | β | -$5.91 | 47% 823-928 (1751) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 10Β’ | $3 | β | -$3 | 52% 3880-3635 (7515) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 7.9Β’ | $2.68 | β | -$2.68 | 39% 713-1130 (1843) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 24Β’ | $1.2 | β | -$1.2 | 62% 2224-1373 (3597) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $1.31 | β | -$1.31 | 34% 571-1123 (1694) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 6Β’ | $0.3 | β | -$0.3 | 47% 1145-1296 (2441) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
β
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
63%
19-11 (30)
BoneOhioInvested
$990
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$10
Record
74%
880-306 (1186)
Invested
$699.88
Value
$706.95
PnL
+$7.07
Record
48%
754-833 (1587)
Invested
$624.69
Value
$631
PnL
+$6.31
Record
57%
4445-3303 (7748)
Invested
$500
Value
β
PnL
-$500
Record
β
Invested
$508.9
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
2241-1691 (3932)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$43
Value
β
PnL
-$39.05
Record
53%
1210-1069 (2279)
Invested
$17.26
Value
$15
PnL
-$2.26
Record
53%
1371-1214 (2585)
Invested
$13.36
Value
$14.84
PnL
+$1.48
Record
60%
2106-1411 (3517)
Invested
$12.11
Value
$13.34
PnL
+$1.23
Record
67%
1947-979 (2926)
Invested
$10.65
Value
$15
PnL
+$4.35
Record
46%
1093-1302 (2395)
Invested
$6.65
Value
$7.23
PnL
+$0.58
Record
62%
1338-834 (2172)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
98%
2083-42 (2125)
Invested
$4.23
Value
$9
PnL
+$4.77
Record
53%
554-495 (1049)
Invested
$5.91
Value
β
PnL
-$5.91
Record
47%
823-928 (1751)
Invested
$3
Value
β
PnL
-$3
Record
52%
3880-3635 (7515)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.68
Value
β
PnL
-$2.68
Record
39%
713-1130 (1843)
Invested
$1.2
Value
β
PnL
-$1.2
Record
62%
2224-1373 (3597)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.31
Value
β
PnL
-$1.31
Record
34%
571-1123 (1694)
Invested
$0.3
Value
β
PnL
-$0.3
Record
47%
1145-1296 (2441)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp β $0

BoneOhio
Down β $1.0K
0x50f7
Down β $706.95
Hcrystallash
Down β $631
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp β $0
ByteBadger92
Down β $500

Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp β $0
ply-pm2
Down β $15
aaa221
Down β $14.84
asdaefef
Down β $13.34