Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Down 71%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.0K

Combined PnL

$-1.8K

Smart Money Signal

Down

16 of 22 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed16 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down16 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,579

Combined PnL$-1.8K

Up6 traders

Total Value$559.45

Total Shares559

Combined PnL+$2.54

Down — 73%Up — 27%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	—	$-1.5K	— 6-0 (6)
QU QuantumPebble673	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	—
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.8¢	$501.32	$490	-$6.22	57% 2190-1623 (3813)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$245	$490	+$245.1
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.8¢	$251.32	—	-$251.32
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Downavg 35¢	$35.02	—	-$35.02	52% 3844-3594 (7438)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Downavg 30.2¢	$30.7	—	-$30.7	53% 1174-1043 (2217)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 50.4¢	$29.07	—	-$29.07	53% 1336-1174 (2510)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 53¢	$18.72	—	-$18.72	48% 1010-1104 (2114)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 84¢	$16.06	$19.11	+$3.05	39% 691-1090 (1781)
LI Little-bigCTR<$100	Downavg 49¢	$17.12	—	-$17.12	53% 540-472 (1012)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 99¢	$15.11	$14	-$1.11	62% 2140-1336 (3476)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 77¢	$13.42	$13.34	-$0.08	67% 1888-951 (2839)
PB PBot-5CTR<$100	Downavg 46.5¢	$9.3	—	-$9.3	47% 623-690 (1313)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 25.9¢	$8.24	—	-$8.24	44% 1079-1378 (2457)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 99¢	$7.92	$8	+$0.08	46% 1225-1418 (2643)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 37.4¢	$13.3	—	-$13.3	60% 2054-1370 (3424)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Downavg 2¢	$8.39	—	-$8.39	47% 727-804 (1531)
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100	Downavg 49¢	$5.39	—	-$5.39	57% 4432-3287 (7719)
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100	Downavg 56¢	$4.76	—	-$4.76	47% 799-905 (1704)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 88¢	$4.4	$5	+$0.6	51% 1380-1304 (2684)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	Downavg 47.5¢	$0.4	—	-$0.4	47% 1681-1866 (3547)
SU suntoriCTR	Downavg 61.6¢	$140.18	—	-$140.18	47% 1320-1474 (2794)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	37% 737-1242 (1979)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 11.1¢	$15.97	—	-$15.97	38% 560-911 (1471)