Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 48% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Up 48%
1 arb excluded
$3.2K
-$532.06
Smart Money Signal
11 of 23 top traders (48%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$0.83 | — 6-0 (6) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.9¢ | $780.43 | $789 | +$8.57 | 98% 2057-41 (2098) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 50.3¢ | $516.3 | — | -$491.9 | 57% 2190-1623 (3813) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 47.3¢ | $74.6 | $157.84 | +$83.24 | 50% 977-986 (1963) |
DE devonpollARB<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $94.45 | $100.85 | +$6.4 | 49% 201-206 (407) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49¢ | $49.45 | $100.85 | +$51.4 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $45 | — | -$45 | |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 85.4¢ | $105.26 | $70.34 | -$5.82 | 52% 3844-3594 (7438) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 57.3¢ | $89.73 | $55.85 | +$4.42 | 53% 1174-1043 (2217) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 97.5¢ | $34.4 | $33.26 | -$1.14 | 46% 1225-1418 (2643) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 37.9¢ | $47.17 | — | -$37.74 | 47% 799-905 (1704) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 85.4¢ | $21.44 | $21.18 | -$0.26 | 67% 1888-951 (2839) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 92.2¢ | $18.5 | $20.05 | +$1.55 | 47% 738-817 (1555) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 72.1¢ | $10.86 | $15.07 | +$4.21 | 62% 2140-1336 (3476) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $11.6 | — | -$11.6 | 47% 1112-1258 (2370) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $4.75 | $5 | +$0.25 | 61% 1295-819 (2114) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $4.4 | — | -$4.4 | 48% 1088-1178 (2266) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 14.6¢ | $2.77 | — | -$2.77 | 39% 691-1090 (1781) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 5.6¢ | $48.88 | — | -$13.76 | 53% 1336-1174 (2510) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Downavg 2.8¢ | $1.38 | — | -$1.38 | 38% 399-656 (1055) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 63.1¢ | $39.6 | — | -$25.47 | 60% 2054-1370 (3424) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 7.6¢ | $2.05 | — | -$2.05 | 51% 1380-1304 (2684) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.7¢ | $5.5 | — | -$5.5 | 44% 1079-1378 (2457) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 54.6¢ | $27.3 | — | -$27.3 | 53% 540-472 (1012) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.8¢ | $4.05 | — | -$4.05 | 37% 737-1242 (1979) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$0.83
Record
—
6-0 (6)
Invested
$780.43
Value
$789
PnL
+$8.57
Record
98%
2057-41 (2098)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$516.3
Value
—
PnL
-$491.9
Record
57%
2190-1623 (3813)
Invested
$74.6
Value
$157.84
PnL
+$83.24
Record
50%
977-986 (1963)
Invested
$94.45
Value
$100.85
PnL
+$6.4
Record
49%
201-206 (407)
Both legs:
Invested
$105.26
Value
$70.34
PnL
-$5.82
Record
52%
3844-3594 (7438)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$89.73
Value
$55.85
PnL
+$4.42
Record
53%
1174-1043 (2217)
Invested
$34.4
Value
$33.26
PnL
-$1.14
Record
46%
1225-1418 (2643)
Invested
$47.17
Value
—
PnL
-$37.74
Record
47%
799-905 (1704)
Invested
$21.44
Value
$21.18
PnL
-$0.26
Record
67%
1888-951 (2839)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$18.5
Value
$20.05
PnL
+$1.55
Record
47%
738-817 (1555)
Invested
$10.86
Value
$15.07
PnL
+$4.21
Record
62%
2140-1336 (3476)
Invested
$11.6
Value
—
PnL
-$11.6
Record
47%
1112-1258 (2370)
Invested
$4.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.25
Record
61%
1295-819 (2114)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$4.4
Value
—
PnL
-$4.4
Record
48%
1088-1178 (2266)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.77
Value
—
PnL
-$2.77
Record
39%
691-1090 (1781)
Invested
$48.88
Value
—
PnL
-$13.76
Record
53%
1336-1174 (2510)
Invested
$1.38
Value
—
PnL
-$1.38
Record
38%
399-656 (1055)
Invested
$39.6
Value
—
PnL
-$25.47
Record
60%
2054-1370 (3424)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.05
Value
—
PnL
-$2.05
Record
51%
1380-1304 (2684)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$5.5
Value
—
PnL
-$5.5
Record
44%
1079-1378 (2457)
Invested
$27.3
Value
—
PnL
-$27.3
Record
53%
540-472 (1012)
Invested
$4.05
Value
—
PnL
-$4.05
Record
37%
737-1242 (1979)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up — $1.5K
hoodquant
Up — $789
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
uninformedfloww
Up — $157.84
devonpoll
ARBArbitrage — excluded
blue.birds
Up — $70.34
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $55.85
dvasdkasodk
Up — $33.26
rabadabadoo
CTRDown — $0