Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
24
Down 63%
$874.22
$-2.3K
Smart Money Signal
15 of 24 top traders (63%)15 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.4K | — 6-0 (6) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 50.3¢ | $506.4 | — | -$495.2 | 57% 2190-1623 (3813) |
BL blue.birdsCTR | Downavg 60.5¢ | $240.56 | — | -$239.76 | 52% 3844-3594 (7438) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR | Downavg 68.9¢ | $138.24 | — | -$133.14 | 51% 1582-1533 (3115) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 48.7¢ | $91.25 | $95 | +$7.5 | 49% 201-206 (407) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 47.7¢ | $73.18 | $153.44 | +$80.26 | 48% 1010-1104 (2114) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 24.9¢ | $87.74 | — | -$87.74 | 53% 1336-1174 (2510) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 28.9¢ | $11.7 | $40.44 | +$28.74 | 48% 1088-1178 (2266) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 68.2¢ | $26.9 | — | -$26.9 | 47% 799-905 (1704) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $22.77 | $23 | +$0.23 | 98% 2057-41 (2098) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $5.01 | $17.78 | +$12.77 | 47% 1112-1258 (2370) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 59.7¢ | $17.35 | — | -$17.35 | 53% 1174-1043 (2217) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 30.7¢ | $4.6 | $15 | +$10.4 | 50% 977-986 (1963) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 87.3¢ | $9.7 | — | -$9.7 | 67% 1888-951 (2839) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 24.7¢ | $16.12 | — | -$16.12 | 51% 1380-1304 (2684) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 24.5¢ | $3.29 | $13.44 | +$10.15 | 39% 691-1090 (1781) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $4.55 | — | -$4.55 | 61% 1295-819 (2114) |
FL flippingsharks<$100 | Upavg 29¢ | $4.67 | $16.12 | +$11.45 | 38% 399-656 (1055) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $33.26 | — | -$11.41 | 62% 2140-1336 (3476) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 10.7¢ | $11.66 | — | -$11.66 | 44% 1079-1378 (2457) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.1¢ | $4.9 | — | -$4.9 | 37% 737-1242 (1979) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 40.2¢ | $12.87 | — | -$12.87 | 46% 1225-1418 (2643) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 60¢ | $9 | — | -$9 | 74% 846-295 (1141) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
—
6-0 (6)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$506.4
Value
—
PnL
-$495.2
Record
57%
2190-1623 (3813)
Invested
$240.56
Value
—
PnL
-$239.76
Record
52%
3844-3594 (7438)
Invested
$138.24
Value
—
PnL
-$133.14
Record
51%
1582-1533 (3115)
Invested
$91.25
Value
$95
PnL
+$7.5
Record
49%
201-206 (407)
Invested
$73.18
Value
$153.44
PnL
+$80.26
Record
48%
1010-1104 (2114)
Invested
$87.74
Value
—
PnL
-$87.74
Record
53%
1336-1174 (2510)
ohioism<$100Invested
$11.7
Value
$40.44
PnL
+$28.74
Record
48%
1088-1178 (2266)
Invested
$26.9
Value
—
PnL
-$26.9
Record
47%
799-905 (1704)
Invested
$22.77
Value
$23
PnL
+$0.23
Record
98%
2057-41 (2098)
Invested
$5.01
Value
$17.78
PnL
+$12.77
Record
47%
1112-1258 (2370)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$17.35
Value
—
PnL
-$17.35
Record
53%
1174-1043 (2217)
Invested
$4.6
Value
$15
PnL
+$10.4
Record
50%
977-986 (1963)
Invested
$9.7
Value
—
PnL
-$9.7
Record
67%
1888-951 (2839)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$16.12
Value
—
PnL
-$16.12
Record
51%
1380-1304 (2684)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$3.29
Value
$13.44
PnL
+$10.15
Record
39%
691-1090 (1781)
Invested
$4.55
Value
—
PnL
-$4.55
Record
61%
1295-819 (2114)
Invested
$4.67
Value
$16.12
PnL
+$11.45
Record
38%
399-656 (1055)
Invested
$33.26
Value
—
PnL
-$11.41
Record
62%
2140-1336 (3476)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$11.66
Value
—
PnL
-$11.66
Record
44%
1079-1378 (2457)
Invested
$4.9
Value
—
PnL
-$4.9
Record
37%
737-1242 (1979)
Invested
$12.87
Value
—
PnL
-$12.87
Record
46%
1225-1418 (2643)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$9
Value
—
PnL
-$9
Record
74%
846-295 (1141)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRDown — $0
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
blue.birds
CTRDown — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown — $0
devonpoll
Up — $95
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $153.44
ply-pm2
CTRDown — $0
ohioism
Up — $40.44
rabadabadoo
CTRDown — $0