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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Resolved Up. 31% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

16

Up 31%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.6K

Combined PnL

-$97.24

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 16 top traders (31%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$746.77

Total Shares747

Combined PnL+$46.13

Down11 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares418

Combined PnL-$143.37

Up — 31%Down — 69%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$1.5K	$1.4K	-$18.2	— 6-0 (6)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$681.1	$1.4K	+$696.26
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$706.06	—	-$714.46
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 51.6¢	$540.44	$505.56	-$12.24	57% 2190-1623 (3813)
└ Up leg	Upavg 51.6¢	$260.66	$505.56	+$244.54
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.6¢	$250.99	—	-$256.78
QU QuantumPebble673	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	—
BL blue.birds	Upavg 65.5¢	$136.91	$167.81	+$30.9	52% 3844-3594 (7438)
E8 0xe8d6...c964CTR<$100	Downavg 55¢	$27.52	—	-$27.52	53% 540-472 (1012)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 91.2¢	$26.5	$25	-$1.5	62% 2140-1336 (3476)
RA rabadabadoo<$100	Upavg 70¢	$26.38	$24.22	+$0.39	47% 799-905 (1704)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 45¢	$13.39	$29.74	+$16.35	60% 2054-1370 (3424)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 34.9¢	$12.5	—	-$12.5	46% 1064-1272 (2336)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 37.7¢	$12.56	—	-$12.56	51% 1380-1304 (2684)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 36.4¢	$5.7	—	-$5.7	48% 1088-1178 (2266)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 30.5¢	$21.2	—	-$11.3	44% 1079-1378 (2457)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 19.5¢	$1.96	—	-$1.96	34% 561-1084 (1645)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 27¢	$2.17	—	-$2.17	46% 1225-1418 (2643)
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100	Downavg 26.8¢	$36.08	—	-$36.08	38% 399-656 (1055)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 35.5¢	$19.75	—	-$19.75	53% 1336-1174 (2510)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 41.2¢	$10.35	—	-$10.35	50% 977-986 (1963)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 26.2¢	$3.48	—	-$3.48	39% 691-1090 (1781)

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.4K

PnL

-$18.2

Record

—

6-0 (6)

Both legs:

Up$681.150¢+$696.26

Down$706.0650¢-$714.46

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$540.44

Value

$505.56

PnL

-$12.24

Record

57%

2190-1623 (3813)

Both legs:

Up$260.6651.6¢+$244.54

Down$250.9949.6¢-$256.78

QuantumPebble673

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

—

Invested

$136.91

Value

$167.81

PnL

+$30.9

Record

52%

3844-3594 (7438)

0xe8d6...c964CTR<$100

Invested

$27.52

Value

—

PnL

-$27.52

Record

53%

540-472 (1012)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$26.5

Value

$25

PnL

-$1.5

Record

62%

2140-1336 (3476)

rabadabadoo<$100

Invested

$26.38

Value

$24.22

PnL

+$0.39

Record

47%

799-905 (1704)

Invested

$13.39

Value

$29.74

PnL

+$16.35

Record

60%

2054-1370 (3424)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$12.5

Value

—

PnL

-$12.5

Record

46%

1064-1272 (2336)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$12.56

Value

—

PnL

-$12.56

Record

51%

1380-1304 (2684)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$5.7

Value

—

PnL

-$5.7

Record

48%

1088-1178 (2266)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$21.2

Value

—

PnL

-$11.3

Record

44%

1079-1378 (2457)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$1.96

Value

—

PnL

-$1.96

Record

34%

561-1084 (1645)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$2.17

Value

—

PnL

-$2.17

Record

46%

1225-1418 (2643)

flippingsharksCTR<$100

Invested

$36.08

Value

—

PnL

-$36.08

Record

38%

399-656 (1055)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$19.75

Value

—

PnL

-$19.75

Record

53%

1336-1174 (2510)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$10.35

Value

—

PnL

-$10.35

Record

50%

977-986 (1963)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$3.48

Value

—

PnL

-$3.48

Record

39%

691-1090 (1781)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 16 top traders (31%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x0f31e6c0...966291

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1794456000

Traders in this Market

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b

Arbitrage — excluded

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

QuantumPebble673

Up — $500

blue.birds

Up — $167.81

0xe8d6...c964

Down — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $25

rabadabadoo

Up — $24.22

aaa221

Up — $29.74

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $0

MayorMamdani

Down — $0

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