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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 41% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

17

Up 41%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.5K

Combined PnL

-$134.14

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 17 top traders (41%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders
Total Value$2.0K
Total Shares2,037
Combined PnL+$8.04
Down10 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares379
Combined PnL-$142.18
Up — 41%Down — 59%
0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Up

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$4.22

Record

—

6-0 (6)

BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$503.85

Value

$505

PnL

+$1.15

Record

57%

2190-1623 (3813)

Both legs:

Up$253.8550.3¢+$251.15
Down$25050¢-$250
QU
QuantumPebble673
Up

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

—

DE
devonpollCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$90

Value

—

PnL

-$86.15

Record

49%

201-206 (407)

BL
blue.birds<$100
Up

Invested

$31.09

Value

$20

PnL

-$2.59

Record

52%

3844-3594 (7438)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$14.65

Value

$15

PnL

+$0.35

Record

53%

1336-1174 (2510)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$11.3

Value

—

PnL

-$1.6

Record

53%

1174-1043 (2217)

BoneOhioCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.5

Value

—

PnL

-$4.5

Record

74%

846-295 (1141)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$3.1

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.9

Record

62%

2140-1336 (3476)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$3.7

Value

$5.21

PnL

+$1.51

Record

67%

1888-951 (2839)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.18

Value

—

PnL

-$3.18

Record

60%

2054-1370 (3424)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Up

Invested

$2.65

Value

$5.3

PnL

+$2.65

Record

48%

1010-1104 (2114)

PB
PBot-5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.4

Value

—

PnL

-$2.4

Record

47%

623-690 (1313)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.1

Value

—

PnL

-$2.1

Record

47%

1112-1258 (2370)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.8

Value

—

PnL

-$1.8

Record

38%

560-911 (1471)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.74

Value

—

PnL

-$1.74

Record

51%

1380-1304 (2684)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$35.53

Value

—

PnL

-$35.53

Record

50%

977-986 (1963)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.18

Value

—

PnL

-$3.18

Record

39%

691-1090 (1781)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x83f55cc4...9886b2
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1794455700

Traders in this Market

0X

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b

Up — $1.5K

+$4.22
BY

ByteBadger92

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$1.15
QU

QuantumPebble673

Up — $500

+$0
DE

devonpoll

CTR

Down — $0

-$86.15
BL

blue.birds

Up — $20

-$2.59
PL

ply-pm2

Up — $15

+$0.35

Polkadot-Frog

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.6

BoneOhio

CTR

Down — $0

-$4.5
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $5

+$1.9
AS

asdaefef

Up — $5.21

+$1.51
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