Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Up 63%
2 arb excluded
$2.9K
$32.65
Smart Money Signal
12 of 19 top traders (63%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | -$3.36 | — 6-0 (6) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $745.5 | — | -$748.56 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $740 | $1.5K | +$745.2 | |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.6¢ | $500.97 | $490 | -$4.77 | 57% 2190-1623 (3813) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.6¢ | $250.97 | — | -$250.97 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $245 | $490 | +$246.2 | |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 76¢ | $120.11 | $158 | +$37.89 | 50% 977-986 (1963) |
82 0x828b...a12b<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $90 | $90 | +$0 | 49% 201-206 (407) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $72.52 | $74 | +$1.48 | 98% 2057-41 (2098) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $63.65 | $35 | +$6.05 | 53% 1174-1043 (2217) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 3.7¢ | $1.88 | — | -$1.88 | 34% 561-1084 (1645) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 9.4¢ | $4.23 | — | -$4.23 | 39% 691-1090 (1781) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $15.8 | $20 | +$4.2 | 46% 1064-1272 (2336) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $5.4 | — | -$5.4 | 52% 3844-3594 (7438) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 6.5¢ | $1.93 | — | -$1.93 | 51% 1380-1304 (2684) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 78.9¢ | $10.22 | $11.28 | +$1.06 | 67% 1888-951 (2839) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 19.8¢ | $6.92 | — | -$6.92 | 53% 1336-1174 (2510) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $4.34 | $5.79 | +$1.45 | 47% 799-905 (1704) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $5.2 | $5 | -$0.2 | 46% 1225-1418 (2643) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $3.75 | $5 | +$1.25 | 62% 2140-1336 (3476) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $3.24 | $4.38 | +$1.14 | 48% 1088-1178 (2266) |
E9 0xe907...cff6<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $1.02 | $2 | +$0.98 | 47% 1320-1474 (2794) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $2.7 | — | -$1.26 | 60% 2054-1370 (3424) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 16¢ | $1.02 | — | -$1.02 | 61% 1295-819 (2114) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.5K
PnL
-$3.36
Record
—
6-0 (6)
Both legs:
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$500.97
Value
$490
PnL
-$4.77
Record
57%
2190-1623 (3813)
Both legs:
Invested
$120.11
Value
$158
PnL
+$37.89
Record
50%
977-986 (1963)
Invested
$90
Value
$90
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
201-206 (407)
Invested
$72.52
Value
$74
PnL
+$1.48
Record
98%
2057-41 (2098)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$63.65
Value
$35
PnL
+$6.05
Record
53%
1174-1043 (2217)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.88
Value
—
PnL
-$1.88
Record
34%
561-1084 (1645)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$4.23
Value
—
PnL
-$4.23
Record
39%
691-1090 (1781)
Invested
$15.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$4.2
Record
46%
1064-1272 (2336)
Invested
$5.4
Value
—
PnL
-$5.4
Record
52%
3844-3594 (7438)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.93
Value
—
PnL
-$1.93
Record
51%
1380-1304 (2684)
Invested
$10.22
Value
$11.28
PnL
+$1.06
Record
67%
1888-951 (2839)
Invested
$6.92
Value
—
PnL
-$6.92
Record
53%
1336-1174 (2510)
Invested
$4.34
Value
$5.79
PnL
+$1.45
Record
47%
799-905 (1704)
Invested
$5.2
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.2
Record
46%
1225-1418 (2643)
Invested
$3.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.25
Record
62%
2140-1336 (3476)
ohioism<$100Invested
$3.24
Value
$4.38
PnL
+$1.14
Record
48%
1088-1178 (2266)
Invested
$1.02
Value
$2
PnL
+$0.98
Record
47%
1320-1474 (2794)
Invested
$2.7
Value
—
PnL
-$1.26
Record
60%
2054-1370 (3424)
Invested
$1.02
Value
—
PnL
-$1.02
Record
61%
1295-819 (2114)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
ARBArbitrage — excluded
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
uninformedfloww
Up — $158
0x828b...a12b
Up — $90
hoodquant
Up — $74
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $35
pspspsps5
CTRDown — $0
OhioRiskManagement
CTRDown — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $20