Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 48% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
25
Down 48%
$2.7K
-$548.48
Smart Money Signal
12 of 25 top traders (48%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b | Downavg 50Β’ | $1.5K | $1.4K | -$2.03 | β 6-0 (6) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 31Β’ | $318.15 | $1.0K | +$709.15 | 49% 786-802 (1588) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | β | -$500 | β |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50.3Β’ | $540.78 | β | -$517.07 | 58% 2058-1520 (3578) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 58.6Β’ | $129.46 | $118.5 | +$3.59 | 52% 3819-3574 (7393) |
82 0x828b...a12bCTR<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $90 | β | -$90 | β |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 58.2Β’ | $82.72 | β | -$82.72 | 53% 1273-1127 (2400) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Downavg 68.5Β’ | $34.61 | $45.05 | +$10.45 | β |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $39.6 | $40 | +$0.4 | 98% 1917-39 (1956) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 77.2Β’ | $26.55 | $23.23 | -$3.32 | 53% 1148-1015 (2163) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 45.7Β’ | $27.42 | β | -$27.42 | 43% 227-296 (523) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 91.5Β’ | $18.5 | $20.22 | +$1.72 | 50% 149-151 (300) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 51Β’ | $17.85 | β | -$17.85 | 46% 569-681 (1250) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 69.8Β’ | $19.24 | $20.33 | +$1.09 | 66% 1796-933 (2729) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 40Β’ | $8 | $20 | +$12 | 49% 1034-1095 (2129) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 62Β’ | $9.04 | $14.58 | +$5.54 | β |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 40Β’ | $4.35 | β | -$4.35 | 39% 676-1067 (1743) |
![]() BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $5 | β | -$5 | 74% 773-277 (1050) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 11.1Β’ | $8.95 | β | -$8.95 | 44% 1012-1265 (2277) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 50.5Β’ | $5.18 | $10.25 | +$5.07 | 57% 4421-3277 (7698) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 97Β’ | $5.93 | $5 | -$0.93 | 61% 1255-809 (2064) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 27.9Β’ | $7.55 | β | -$5.32 | β |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 28Β’ | $25.23 | β | -$6.95 | 62% 2042-1276 (3318) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Upavg 24.8Β’ | $18.83 | β | -$18.83 | β |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 33.8Β’ | $6.75 | β | -$6.75 | 52% 725-659 (1384) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
$1.4K
PnL
-$2.03
Record
β
6-0 (6)
Invested
$318.15
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$709.15
Record
49%
786-802 (1588)
Invested
$500
Value
β
PnL
-$500
Record
β
Invested
$540.78
Value
β
PnL
-$517.07
Record
58%
2058-1520 (3578)
Invested
$129.46
Value
$118.5
PnL
+$3.59
Record
52%
3819-3574 (7393)
Invested
$90
Value
β
PnL
-$90
Record
β
Invested
$82.72
Value
β
PnL
-$82.72
Record
53%
1273-1127 (2400)
Invested
$34.61
Value
$45.05
PnL
+$10.45
Record
β
Invested
$39.6
Value
$40
PnL
+$0.4
Record
98%
1917-39 (1956)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$26.55
Value
$23.23
PnL
-$3.32
Record
53%
1148-1015 (2163)
Invested
$27.42
Value
β
PnL
-$27.42
Record
43%
227-296 (523)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$18.5
Value
$20.22
PnL
+$1.72
Record
50%
149-151 (300)
Invested
$17.85
Value
β
PnL
-$17.85
Record
46%
569-681 (1250)
Invested
$19.24
Value
$20.33
PnL
+$1.09
Record
66%
1796-933 (2729)
ohioism<$100Invested
$8
Value
$20
PnL
+$12
Record
49%
1034-1095 (2129)
Invested
$9.04
Value
$14.58
PnL
+$5.54
Record
β
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$4.35
Value
β
PnL
-$4.35
Record
39%
676-1067 (1743)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$5
Value
β
PnL
-$5
Record
74%
773-277 (1050)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$8.95
Value
β
PnL
-$8.95
Record
44%
1012-1265 (2277)
Invested
$5.18
Value
$10.25
PnL
+$5.07
Record
57%
4421-3277 (7698)
Invested
$5.93
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.93
Record
61%
1255-809 (2064)
Invested
$7.55
Value
β
PnL
-$5.32
Record
β
Invested
$25.23
Value
β
PnL
-$6.95
Record
62%
2042-1276 (3318)
Invested
$18.83
Value
β
PnL
-$18.83
Record
β
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$6.75
Value
β
PnL
-$6.75
Record
52%
725-659 (1384)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
Down β $1.4K
uninformedfloww
Down β $1.0K
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp β $0
ByteBadger92
CTRUp β $0
blue.birds
Down β $118.5
0x828b...a12b
CTRUp β $0
ply-pm2
CTRUp β $0
rabadabadoo
Down β $45.05
hoodquant
Down β $40

Polkadot-Frog
Down β $23.23