Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
24
Up 54%
$403.92
$-2.7K
Smart Money Signal
13 of 24 top traders (54%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.5K | — 6-0 (6) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50.3¢ | $521.09 | — | -$511.09 | 58% 2058-1520 (3578) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 68.4¢ | $128.59 | $113.09 | -$11.4 | 52% 3819-3574 (7393) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 53.4¢ | $68.8 | — | -$46 | 49% 786-802 (1588) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $106.92 | $108 | +$1.08 | 74% 773-277 (1050) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 50.7¢ | $93.2 | — | -$91.32 | — |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $78.65 | $79.45 | +$0.8 | 98% 1917-39 (1956) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $30.84 | — | -$30.84 | 50% 1323-1316 (2639) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $20.12 | — | -$20.12 | — |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 36.6¢ | $8.85 | $23.75 | +$14.9 | 46% 569-681 (1250) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $18.97 | $16.09 | -$2.88 | 66% 1796-933 (2729) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 34.5¢ | $25.95 | — | -$25.95 | 43% 227-296 (523) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $14.15 | $13.67 | -$0.48 | — |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $13.19 | — | -$13.19 | 53% 1148-1015 (2163) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 21.6¢ | $7.2 | $17.86 | +$10.66 | 52% 725-659 (1384) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $13.09 | $7.22 | +$3.63 | 62% 2042-1276 (3318) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 26.4¢ | $6.66 | $12.72 | +$6.06 | 39% 676-1067 (1743) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $9.99 | $6.06 | -$3.93 | 61% 1255-809 (2064) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $1.6 | — | -$1.6 | 49% 1034-1095 (2129) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $0.6 | $6 | +$5.4 | 34% 554-1063 (1617) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 69.9¢ | $56.99 | — | +$50.38 | — |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 25.1¢ | $21.57 | — | -$21.57 | 53% 1273-1127 (2400) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.32 | — | -$0.32 | 44% 1012-1265 (2277) |
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
—
6-0 (6)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$521.09
Value
—
PnL
-$511.09
Record
58%
2058-1520 (3578)
Invested
$128.59
Value
$113.09
PnL
-$11.4
Record
52%
3819-3574 (7393)
Invested
$68.8
Value
—
PnL
-$46
Record
49%
786-802 (1588)
BoneOhioInvested
$106.92
Value
$108
PnL
+$1.08
Record
74%
773-277 (1050)
Invested
$93.2
Value
—
PnL
-$91.32
Record
—
Invested
$78.65
Value
$79.45
PnL
+$0.8
Record
98%
1917-39 (1956)
Invested
$30.84
Value
—
PnL
-$30.84
Record
50%
1323-1316 (2639)
Invested
$20.12
Value
—
PnL
-$20.12
Record
—
Invested
$8.85
Value
$23.75
PnL
+$14.9
Record
46%
569-681 (1250)
Invested
$18.97
Value
$16.09
PnL
-$2.88
Record
66%
1796-933 (2729)
Invested
$25.95
Value
—
PnL
-$25.95
Record
43%
227-296 (523)
Invested
$14.15
Value
$13.67
PnL
-$0.48
Record
—
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$13.19
Value
—
PnL
-$13.19
Record
53%
1148-1015 (2163)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$7.2
Value
$17.86
PnL
+$10.66
Record
52%
725-659 (1384)
Invested
$13.09
Value
$7.22
PnL
+$3.63
Record
62%
2042-1276 (3318)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$6.66
Value
$12.72
PnL
+$6.06
Record
39%
676-1067 (1743)
Invested
$9.99
Value
$6.06
PnL
-$3.93
Record
61%
1255-809 (2064)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.6
Value
—
PnL
-$1.6
Record
49%
1034-1095 (2129)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$0.6
Value
$6
PnL
+$5.4
Record
34%
554-1063 (1617)
Invested
$56.99
Value
—
PnL
+$50.38
Record
—
Invested
$21.57
Value
—
PnL
-$21.57
Record
53%
1273-1127 (2400)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.32
Value
—
PnL
-$0.32
Record
44%
1012-1265 (2277)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b
CTRUp — $0
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
blue.birds
Down — $113.09
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
BoneOhio
Down — $108
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $79.45
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRUp — $0
rabadabadoo
CTRUp — $0