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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Resolved Down. 42% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

19

Up 42%

Total Value

$256.22

Combined PnL

$-2.5K

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 19 top traders (42%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,806
Combined PnL$-2.5K
Down11 traders
Total Value$256.22
Total Shares256
Combined PnL+$10.81
Up — 42%Down — 58%
0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR
Up

Invested

$1,500

Value

—

PnL

$-1.5K

Record

—

6-0 (6)

BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

58%

2058-1520 (3578)

QU
QuantumPebble673CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

—

Polkadot-Frog<$100
Down

Invested

$89.17

Value

$55

PnL

+$2.94

Record

53%

1148-1015 (2163)

BoneOhio<$100
Down

Invested

$45.85

Value

$44.8

PnL

-$1.05

Record

74%

773-277 (1050)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Down

Invested

$30.97

Value

$34.38

PnL

+$3.41

Record

39%

676-1067 (1743)

BL
blue.birds<$100
Down

Invested

$27.4

Value

$30

PnL

+$3.58

Record

52%

3819-3574 (7393)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$26.32

Value

$26

PnL

+$0.28

Record

66%

1796-933 (2729)

ohioism<$100
Down

Invested

$20.45

Value

$15.87

PnL

-$4.58

Record

49%

1034-1095 (2129)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Down

Invested

$10.8

Value

$15.65

PnL

+$4.85

Record

43%

227-296 (523)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$9.97

Value

$11

PnL

+$1.03

Record

62%

2042-1276 (3318)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$9.9

Value

$10.14

PnL

+$0.24

Record

—

0X
0x50f7<$100
Down

Invested

$8.32

Value

$8.33

PnL

+$0.01

Record

47%

629-703 (1332)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5.05

PnL

+$0.1

Record

61%

1255-809 (2064)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.26

Value

—

PnL

-$1.26

Record

53%

1273-1127 (2400)

FL
flippingsharksCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.56

Value

—

PnL

-$1.56

Record

—

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$24.4

Value

—

PnL

-$24.4

Record

49%

786-802 (1588)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.17

Value

—

PnL

-$0.17

Record

52%

725-659 (1384)

RA
rabadabadooCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.53

Value

—

PnL

-$1.53

Record

—

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xec0a4d0d...bf434a
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1794453600

Traders in this Market

0X

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b

CTR

Up — $0

$-1.5K
BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$500
QU

QuantumPebble673

CTR

Up — $0

-$500

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $55

+$2.94

BoneOhio

Down — $44.8

-$1.05

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $34.38

+$3.41
BL

blue.birds

Down — $30

+$3.58
AS

asdaefef

Down — $26

+$0.28

ohioism

Down — $15.87

-$4.58
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $15.65

+$4.85
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