Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
14
Down 57%
$72.25
-$1.17
Smart Money Signal
8 of 14 top traders (57%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 3.6¢ | $2.79 | — | -$2.79 | 34% 554-1063 (1617) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $1.02 | — | -$1.02 | 47% 629-703 (1332) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $7.97 | $4.64 | +$1.47 | 53% 1148-1015 (2163) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $1.02 | — | -$1.02 | 52% 3819-3574 (7393) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Upavg 48.4¢ | $14.39 | $29.72 | +$15.33 | 48% 1454-1600 (3054) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $11.62 | — | -$11.62 | 57% 4421-3277 (7698) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 74.1¢ | $10.85 | $10.46 | -$0.39 | 66% 1796-933 (2729) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 1.5¢ | $0.22 | — | -$0.22 | 52% 725-659 (1384) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $7.5 | $15 | +$7.5 | 53% 1273-1127 (2400) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $4.9 | $5.1 | +$0.2 | 61% 1255-809 (2064) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $5.79 | $7.33 | +$1.54 | 58% 2058-1520 (3578) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $3.1 | — | -$3.1 | 62% 2042-1276 (3318) |
RA rabadabadooCTR<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $0.75 | — | -$0.75 | — |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 6.4¢ | $6.3 | — | -$6.3 | 39% 676-1067 (1743) |
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.79
Value
—
PnL
-$2.79
Record
34%
554-1063 (1617)
Invested
$1.02
Value
—
PnL
-$1.02
Record
47%
629-703 (1332)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$7.97
Value
$4.64
PnL
+$1.47
Record
53%
1148-1015 (2163)
Invested
$1.02
Value
—
PnL
-$1.02
Record
52%
3819-3574 (7393)
Invested
$14.39
Value
$29.72
PnL
+$15.33
Record
48%
1454-1600 (3054)
Invested
$11.62
Value
—
PnL
-$11.62
Record
57%
4421-3277 (7698)
Invested
$10.85
Value
$10.46
PnL
-$0.39
Record
66%
1796-933 (2729)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.22
Value
—
PnL
-$0.22
Record
52%
725-659 (1384)
Invested
$7.5
Value
$15
PnL
+$7.5
Record
53%
1273-1127 (2400)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$5.1
PnL
+$0.2
Record
61%
1255-809 (2064)
Invested
$5.79
Value
$7.33
PnL
+$1.54
Record
58%
2058-1520 (3578)
Invested
$3.1
Value
—
PnL
-$3.1
Record
62%
2042-1276 (3318)
Invested
$0.75
Value
—
PnL
-$0.75
Record
—
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$6.3
Value
—
PnL
-$6.3
Record
39%
676-1067 (1743)