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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Resolved Up. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

20

Up 63%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$662.78

Combined PnL

$64.51

Smart Money Signal

Up

13 of 20 top traders (65%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up13 traders

Total Value$498.13

Total Shares498

Combined PnL+$67.22

Down7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares48

Combined PnL-$2.72

Up — 65%Down — 35%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BL blue.birds	Upavg 70.9¢	$300.88	$271.22	-$29.65	52% 3819-3574 (7393)
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 73.7¢	$170.62	$164.65	-$5.97	53% 1273-1127 (2400)
└ Up leg	Upavg 73.7¢	$121.41	$164.65	+$43.25
└ Down leg	Downavg 34.9¢	$49.22	—	-$49.22
RA rabadabadoo<$100	Upavg 58.9¢	$37.14	$39.95	+$3.61	—
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 34.8¢	$13.72	$33.74	+$20.01	52% 725-659 (1384)
FL flippingsharks<$100	Upavg 14¢	$4.75	$33.94	+$29.19	—
38 38791873984189<$100	Upavg 48.1¢	$16.47	$34.27	+$17.8	48% 1454-1600 (3054)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 87¢	$14.15	$15	+$0.85	46% 569-681 (1250)
BoneOhio<$100	Upavg 84¢	$12.6	$15	+$2.4	74% 773-277 (1050)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 33.6¢	$12.6	$19.27	+$11.41	62% 2042-1276 (3318)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Upavg 93.3¢	$14	$15	+$1	50% 149-151 (300)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 50¢	$10	$20	+$10	44% 1012-1265 (2277)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 13.9¢	$3.29	—	-$3.29	—
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 41¢	$3.55	—	-$3.55	39% 676-1067 (1743)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 82.5¢	$3.3	—	-$3.3	—
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Downavg 11¢	$1.2	—	-$1.2	61% 1255-809 (2064)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 21¢	$1.05	—	-$1.05	43% 227-296 (523)
pspspsps5<$100	Upavg 18¢	$0.13	$0.74	+$0.6	34% 554-1063 (1617)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Downavg 24¢	$4.67	—	+$11.07	—
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Downavg 24¢	$1.4	—	-$1.4	66% 1796-933 (2729)
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	— 6-0 (6)
DE devonpoll<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	—

Invested

$300.88

Value

$271.22

PnL

-$29.65

Record

52%

3819-3574 (7393)

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$170.62

Value

$164.65

PnL

-$5.97

Record

53%

1273-1127 (2400)

Both legs:

Up$121.4173.7¢+$43.25

Down$49.2234.9¢-$49.22

rabadabadoo<$100

Invested

$37.14

Value

$39.95

PnL

+$3.61

Record

—

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$13.72

Value

$33.74

PnL

+$20.01

Record

52%

725-659 (1384)

flippingsharks<$100

Invested

$4.75

Value

$33.94

PnL

+$29.19

Record

—

38791873984189<$100

Invested

$16.47

Value

$34.27

PnL

+$17.8

Record

48%

1454-1600 (3054)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$14.15

Value

$15

PnL

+$0.85

Record

46%

569-681 (1250)

Invested

$12.6

Value

$15

PnL

+$2.4

Record

74%

773-277 (1050)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$12.6

Value

$19.27

PnL

+$11.41

Record

62%

2042-1276 (3318)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$14

Value

$15

PnL

+$1

Record

50%

149-151 (300)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$10

Value

$20

PnL

+$10

Record

44%

1012-1265 (2277)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$3.29

Value

—

PnL

-$3.29

Record

—

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$3.55

Value

—

PnL

-$3.55

Record

39%

676-1067 (1743)

Invested

$3.3

Value

—

PnL

-$3.3

Record

—

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$1.2

Value

—

PnL

-$1.2

Record

61%

1255-809 (2064)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$1.05

Value

—

PnL

-$1.05

Record

43%

227-296 (523)

Invested

$0.13

Value

$0.74

PnL

+$0.6

Record

34%

554-1063 (1617)

suntoriCTR<$100

Invested

$4.67

Value

—

PnL

+$11.07

Record

—

asdaefefCTR<$100

Invested

$1.4

Value

—

PnL

-$1.4

Record

66%

1796-933 (2729)

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

—

6-0 (6)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

—

Smart Money Signal

Up

13 of 20 top traders (65%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x5c04e099...efd986

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1794451800

Traders in this Market

blue.birds

Up — $271.22

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

rabadabadoo

Up — $39.95

MayorMamdani

Up — $33.74

flippingsharks

Up — $33.94

38791873984189

Up — $34.27

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $15

BoneOhio

Up — $15

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $19.27

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $15

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