Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 46% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
26
Down 44%
$525.2
-$186.4
Smart Money Signal
12 of 26 top traders (46%)14 hold an outcome priced under 50%25 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BL blue.birds | Downavg 81.5Β’ | $163.79 | $176.42 | +$12.63 | 52% 3801-3556 (7357) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 86.6Β’ | $84.64 | $81.94 | -$1.53 | 50% 1317-1303 (2620) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 79Β’ | $78.05 | $74.99 | -$3.06 | 53% 1258-1114 (2372) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $65.26 | $65.92 | +$0.66 | 98% 1899-39 (1938) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 87.3Β’ | $34.36 | $38 | +$3.64 | 48% 1014-1081 (2095) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 89.3Β’ | $28.39 | $28.69 | +$1.26 | 66% 1776-921 (2697) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 90.6Β’ | $28.78 | $24 | +$0.57 | 62% 2020-1262 (3282) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $11.2 | $10 | -$1.2 | 61% 1240-802 (2042) |
5E 0x5e8e...8212<$100 | Downavg 92Β’ | $9.25 | $10.05 | +$0.8 | β |
DC 0xdc3f...4fa0<$100 | Downavg 79.5Β’ | $25.74 | $9.33 | -$3.07 | β |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 12.3Β’ | $6.43 | β | -$6.43 | 39% 666-1044 (1710) |
42 0x424e...263bCTR<$100 | Upavg 32.8Β’ | $10.82 | β | -$10.82 | β |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3Β’ | $1.11 | β | -$1.11 | 47% 619-701 (1320) |
F8 0xf8af...54c6<$100 | Downavg 83Β’ | $4.55 | $5 | +$0.45 | β |
C3 0xc387...e4f4CTR<$100 | Upavg 8Β’ | $2.5 | β | -$2.5 | β |
BA 0xba67...4727CTR<$100 | Upavg 21Β’ | $4.2 | β | -$4.2 | β |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 13.3Β’ | $2.29 | β | -$2.29 | 34% 549-1045 (1594) |
5D 0x5d4a...55d3CTR<$100 | Upavg 9.6Β’ | $1.4 | β | -$1.4 | β |
82 0x828b...a12bCTR<$100 | Upavg 18Β’ | $1 | β | -$1 | β |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.7Β’ | $3.5 | β | -$3.5 | 44% 990-1249 (2239) |
D8 0xd8f1...74a9CTR<$100 | Upavg 13Β’ | $1.32 | β | -$1.32 | β |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 81Β’ | $12.04 | $0.86 | +$1.7 | 53% 1134-1003 (2137) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 17Β’ | $4.37 | β | -$4.37 | 38% 709-1165 (1874) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 20.1Β’ | $86.4 | β | -$86.4 | 49% 767-785 (1552) |
E9 0xe907...cff6CTR<$100 | Upavg 32.8Β’ | $65.41 | β | -$65.41 | β |
Invested
$163.79
Value
$176.42
PnL
+$12.63
Record
52%
3801-3556 (7357)
Invested
$84.64
Value
$81.94
PnL
-$1.53
Record
50%
1317-1303 (2620)
Invested
$78.05
Value
$74.99
PnL
-$3.06
Record
53%
1258-1114 (2372)
Invested
$65.26
Value
$65.92
PnL
+$0.66
Record
98%
1899-39 (1938)
ohioism<$100Invested
$34.36
Value
$38
PnL
+$3.64
Record
48%
1014-1081 (2095)
Invested
$28.39
Value
$28.69
PnL
+$1.26
Record
66%
1776-921 (2697)
Invested
$28.78
Value
$24
PnL
+$0.57
Record
62%
2020-1262 (3282)
Invested
$11.2
Value
$10
PnL
-$1.2
Record
61%
1240-802 (2042)
Invested
$9.25
Value
$10.05
PnL
+$0.8
Record
β
Invested
$25.74
Value
$9.33
PnL
-$3.07
Record
β
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$6.43
Value
β
PnL
-$6.43
Record
39%
666-1044 (1710)
Invested
$10.82
Value
β
PnL
-$10.82
Record
β
Invested
$1.11
Value
β
PnL
-$1.11
Record
47%
619-701 (1320)
Invested
$4.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.45
Record
β
Invested
$2.5
Value
β
PnL
-$2.5
Record
β
Invested
$4.2
Value
β
PnL
-$4.2
Record
β
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.29
Value
β
PnL
-$2.29
Record
34%
549-1045 (1594)
Invested
$1.4
Value
β
PnL
-$1.4
Record
β
Invested
$1
Value
β
PnL
-$1
Record
β
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3.5
Value
β
PnL
-$3.5
Record
44%
990-1249 (2239)
Invested
$1.32
Value
β
PnL
-$1.32
Record
β
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$12.04
Value
$0.86
PnL
+$1.7
Record
53%
1134-1003 (2137)
Invested
$4.37
Value
β
PnL
-$4.37
Record
38%
709-1165 (1874)
Invested
$86.4
Value
β
PnL
-$86.4
Record
49%
767-785 (1552)
Invested
$65.41
Value
β
PnL
-$65.41
Record
β
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
blue.birds
Down β $176.42
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $81.94
ply-pm2
Down β $74.99
hoodquant
Down β $65.92

ohioism
Down β $38
asdaefef
Down β $28.69
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $24
asidjasiodja
Down β $10
0x5e8e...8212
Down β $10.05
0xdc3f...4fa0
Down β $9.33