Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Down 53%
$177.35
-$71.57
Smart Money Signal
9 of 17 top traders (53%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $69.3 | $70 | +$0.7 | 98% 1899-39 (1938) |
E8 0xe8d6...c964CTR<$100 | Upavg 25.7¢ | $16.44 | — | -$16.44 | — |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $25.08 | $30 | +$4.92 | 52% 3801-3556 (7357) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 97.1¢ | $92.99 | $23 | -$0.69 | 39% 666-1044 (1710) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 73.4¢ | $12.38 | $15.95 | +$3.58 | 53% 1258-1114 (2372) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $9.89 | $9 | -$0.89 | 66% 1776-921 (2697) |
D8 0xd8f1...74a9<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $12.91 | $15.01 | +$2.1 | — |
F8 0xf8af...54c6<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $4.16 | $5 | +$0.84 | — |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $6.58 | $5 | -$0.08 | 62% 2020-1262 (3282) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $2.15 | $4.39 | +$2.24 | 48% 991-1090 (2081) |
E9 0xe907...cff6CTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $2.24 | — | -$2.24 | — |
DC 0xdc3f...4fa0CTR<$100 | Upavg 29¢ | $1.45 | — | -$1.45 | — |
5D 0x5d4a...55d3CTR<$100 | Upavg 5¢ | $1.08 | — | -$1.08 | — |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $1.14 | — | -$1.14 | 47% 619-701 (1320) |
82 0x828b...a12bCTR<$100 | Upavg 29¢ | $1.45 | — | -$1.08 | — |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 27.7¢ | $60.82 | — | -$60.82 | 49% 767-785 (1552) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.04 | — | -$0.04 | 34% 549-1045 (1594) |
Invested
$69.3
Value
$70
PnL
+$0.7
Record
98%
1899-39 (1938)
Invested
$16.44
Value
—
PnL
-$16.44
Record
—
Invested
$25.08
Value
$30
PnL
+$4.92
Record
52%
3801-3556 (7357)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$92.99
Value
$23
PnL
-$0.69
Record
39%
666-1044 (1710)
Invested
$12.38
Value
$15.95
PnL
+$3.58
Record
53%
1258-1114 (2372)
Invested
$9.89
Value
$9
PnL
-$0.89
Record
66%
1776-921 (2697)
Invested
$12.91
Value
$15.01
PnL
+$2.1
Record
—
Invested
$4.16
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.84
Record
—
Invested
$6.58
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.08
Record
62%
2020-1262 (3282)
Invested
$2.15
Value
$4.39
PnL
+$2.24
Record
48%
991-1090 (2081)
Invested
$2.24
Value
—
PnL
-$2.24
Record
—
Invested
$1.45
Value
—
PnL
-$1.45
Record
—
Invested
$1.08
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
—
Invested
$1.14
Value
—
PnL
-$1.14
Record
47%
619-701 (1320)
Invested
$1.45
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
—
Invested
$60.82
Value
—
PnL
-$60.82
Record
49%
767-785 (1552)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.04
Value
—
PnL
-$0.04
Record
34%
549-1045 (1594)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $70
0xe8d6...c964
CTRUp — $0
blue.birds
Down — $30
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $23
ply-pm2
Down — $15.95
asdaefef
Down — $9
0xd8f1...74a9
Down — $15.01
0xf8af...54c6
Down — $5
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $5
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $4.39