Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Down 55%

Total Value

$230.31

Combined PnL

-$26.43

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$230.31

Total Shares230

Combined PnL+$13.65

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares289

Combined PnL-$40.08

Up — 45%Down — 55%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Upavg 87.3¢	$68.15	$78.1	+$9.95	53% 1101-972 (2073)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 61.7¢	$67.59	$69.31	+$1.72	50% 1269-1265 (2534)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$60.39	$61	+$0.61	98% 1855-39 (1894)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 87.1¢	$18.78	$16.9	-$1.88	49% 3456-3566 (7022)
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100	Downavg 48.5¢	$10.67	—	-$10.67	57% 4386-3257 (7643)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 29¢	$5.8	—	-$5.8	48% 969-1064 (2033)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 43¢	$7.26	—	-$7.26	53% 1226-1085 (2311)
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100	Downavg 29¢	$2.9	—	-$2.9	58% 1973-1454 (3427)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 35¢	$1.75	$5	+$3.25	44% 955-1216 (2171)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 4¢	$1.32	—	-$1.32	40% 649-994 (1643)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 6.4¢	$12.13	—	-$12.13	50% 732-740 (1472)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$68.15

Value

$78.1

PnL

+$9.95

Record

53%

1101-972 (2073)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$67.59

Value

$69.31

PnL

+$1.72

Record

50%

1269-1265 (2534)

Invested

$60.39

Value

$61

PnL

+$0.61

Record

98%

1855-39 (1894)

Invested

$18.78

Value

$16.9

PnL

-$1.88

Record

49%

3456-3566 (7022)

HcrystallashCTR<$100

Invested

$10.67

Value

—

PnL

-$10.67

Record

57%

4386-3257 (7643)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$5.8

Value

—

PnL

-$5.8

Record

48%

969-1064 (2033)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$7.26

Value

—

PnL

-$7.26

Record

53%

1226-1085 (2311)

ByteBadger92CTR<$100

Invested

$2.9

Value

—

PnL

-$2.9

Record

58%

1973-1454 (3427)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$1.75

Value

$5

PnL

+$3.25

Record

44%

955-1216 (2171)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$1.32

Value

—

PnL

-$1.32

Record

40%

649-994 (1643)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$12.13

Value

—

PnL

-$12.13

Record

50%

732-740 (1472)

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x70760bbe...abdc9f

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1794441000

Traders in this Market

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $78.1

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $69.31

hoodquant

Up — $61

asdcaxz

Up — $16.9

Hcrystallash

Down — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Down — $0

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $5

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $0

Trade on Polymarket