Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Down 63%
$75
-$19.69
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 89Β’ | $27.59 | $30 | +$2.41 | 49% 3456-3566 (7022) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $12.87 | $13 | +$0.13 | 98% 1855-39 (1894) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 62Β’ | $8.5 | $12 | +$3.5 | 50% 1269-1265 (2534) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 91Β’ | $13.65 | $15 | +$1.35 | 53% 1226-1085 (2311) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Upavg 53Β’ | $2.65 | β | -$2.65 | 57% 4386-3257 (7643) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 75Β’ | $3.75 | $5 | +$1.25 | 52% 3766-3522 (7288) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.8Β’ | $25.32 | β | -$25.32 | 50% 732-740 (1472) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.36 | β | -$0.36 | 40% 649-994 (1643) |
Invested
$27.59
Value
$30
PnL
+$2.41
Record
49%
3456-3566 (7022)
Invested
$12.87
Value
$13
PnL
+$0.13
Record
98%
1855-39 (1894)
Invested
$8.5
Value
$12
PnL
+$3.5
Record
50%
1269-1265 (2534)
Invested
$13.65
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.35
Record
53%
1226-1085 (2311)
Invested
$2.65
Value
β
PnL
-$2.65
Record
57%
4386-3257 (7643)
Invested
$3.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.25
Record
52%
3766-3522 (7288)
Invested
$25.32
Value
β
PnL
-$25.32
Record
50%
732-740 (1472)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$0.36
Value
β
PnL
-$0.36
Record
40%
649-994 (1643)