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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

14

Up 54%

Total Value

$230.67

Combined PnL

-$90.1

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 14 top traders (50%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders

Total Value$230.67

Total Shares231

Combined PnL+$73.48

Up7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares795

Combined PnL-$163.59

Down — 50%Up — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
wowitsamazing	Downavg 46.1¢	$49.86	$108.21	+$58.35	44% 85-110 (195)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 69.6¢	$50.82	$57.46	+$6.64	50% 1269-1265 (2534)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 78¢	$31.5	$30	-$1.5	53% 1226-1085 (2311)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 85.4¢	$42.7	$15	+$6.95	53% 1101-972 (2073)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Downavg 69¢	$9.65	$10	+$0.35	49% 3456-3566 (7022)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 41¢	$16.4	—	-$16.4	48% 980-1048 (2028)
BoneOhio<$100	Downavg 73¢	$7.3	$10	+$2.7	74% 738-260 (998)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 42¢	$8.4	—	-$8.4	44% 955-1216 (2171)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 2.7¢	$0.33	—	-$0.33	35% 538-1000 (1538)
UN uninformedflowwCTR	Upavg 22.6¢	$128.01	—	-$128.01	50% 732-740 (1472)
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100	Upavg 52¢	$2.73	—	-$2.73	57% 4386-3257 (7643)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 4.7¢	$6.98	—	-$6.98	40% 649-994 (1643)
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100	Upavg 42¢	$0.74	—	-$0.74	58% 1973-1454 (3427)
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b<$100	Down	—	—	+$0	— 6-0 (6)

Invested

$49.86

Value

$108.21

PnL

+$58.35

Record

44%

85-110 (195)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$50.82

Value

$57.46

PnL

+$6.64

Record

50%

1269-1265 (2534)

Invested

$31.5

Value

$30

PnL

-$1.5

Record

53%

1226-1085 (2311)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$42.7

Value

$15

PnL

+$6.95

Record

53%

1101-972 (2073)

Invested

$9.65

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.35

Record

49%

3456-3566 (7022)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$16.4

Value

—

PnL

-$16.4

Record

48%

980-1048 (2028)

Invested

$7.3

Value

$10

PnL

+$2.7

Record

74%

738-260 (998)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$8.4

Value

—

PnL

-$8.4

Record

44%

955-1216 (2171)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0.33

Value

—

PnL

-$0.33

Record

35%

538-1000 (1538)

uninformedflowwCTR

Invested

$128.01

Value

—

PnL

-$128.01

Record

50%

732-740 (1472)

HcrystallashCTR<$100

Invested

$2.73

Value

—

PnL

-$2.73

Record

57%

4386-3257 (7643)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$6.98

Value

—

PnL

-$6.98

Record

40%

649-994 (1643)

ByteBadger92CTR<$100

Invested

$0.74

Value

—

PnL

-$0.74

Record

58%

1973-1454 (3427)

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

—

6-0 (6)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 14 top traders (50%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xfd3ffb78...39f3cf

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1794440100

Traders in this Market

wowitsamazing

Down — $108.21

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $57.46

ply-pm2

Down — $30

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $15

asdcaxz

Down — $10

ohioism

Up — $0

BoneOhio

Down — $10

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $0

pspspsps5

Up — $0

uninformedfloww

Up — $0

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