Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
14
Up 36%
$453.23
-$269.69
Smart Money Signal
5 of 14 top traders (36%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99Β’ | $177.21 | $179 | +$1.79 | 98% 1837-39 (1876) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 75.8Β’ | $118.2 | $136 | +$17.8 | 49% 3432-3549 (6981) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 64.7Β’ | $110.69 | $102.9 | +$2.16 | 53% 1080-957 (2037) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 60Β’ | $27.35 | $23.33 | -$4.02 | 52% 3739-3509 (7248) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Downavg 6Β’ | $7.86 | β | -$7.86 | 45% 619-745 (1364) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.4Β’ | $2.67 | β | -$2.67 | 35% 531-973 (1504) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 44.4Β’ | $6.9 | β | -$6.9 | 58% 1948-1427 (3375) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 57Β’ | $6.84 | $12 | +$5.16 | 57% 4377-3250 (7627) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 63Β’ | $6.3 | β | -$6.3 | 48% 962-1040 (2002) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 13.2Β’ | $6.88 | β | -$6.88 | 53% 1206-1070 (2276) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 47Β’ | $3.69 | β | -$3.69 | 48% 575-634 (1209) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 2Β’ | $0.3 | β | -$0.3 | 50% 1263-1254 (2517) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 58.2Β’ | $255.28 | β | -$255.28 | 49% 706-726 (1432) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 4.8Β’ | $2.7 | β | -$2.7 | 40% 643-968 (1611) |
Invested
$177.21
Value
$179
PnL
+$1.79
Record
98%
1837-39 (1876)
Invested
$118.2
Value
$136
PnL
+$17.8
Record
49%
3432-3549 (6981)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$110.69
Value
$102.9
PnL
+$2.16
Record
53%
1080-957 (2037)
Invested
$27.35
Value
$23.33
PnL
-$4.02
Record
52%
3739-3509 (7248)
Invested
$7.86
Value
β
PnL
-$7.86
Record
45%
619-745 (1364)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.67
Value
β
PnL
-$2.67
Record
35%
531-973 (1504)
Invested
$6.9
Value
β
PnL
-$6.9
Record
58%
1948-1427 (3375)
Invested
$6.84
Value
$12
PnL
+$5.16
Record
57%
4377-3250 (7627)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$6.3
Value
β
PnL
-$6.3
Record
48%
962-1040 (2002)
Invested
$6.88
Value
β
PnL
-$6.88
Record
53%
1206-1070 (2276)
Invested
$3.69
Value
β
PnL
-$3.69
Record
48%
575-634 (1209)
Invested
$0.3
Value
β
PnL
-$0.3
Record
50%
1263-1254 (2517)
Invested
$255.28
Value
β
PnL
-$255.28
Record
49%
706-726 (1432)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.7
Value
β
PnL
-$2.7
Record
40%
643-968 (1611)