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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

14

Down 58%

Total Value

$927.36

Combined PnL

$62.56

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 14 top traders (57%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down8 traders

Total Value$927.36

Total Shares927

Combined PnL+$53.46

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares260

Combined PnL+$9.1

Down — 57%Up — 43%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HC Hcrystallash	Downavg 97¢	$629.37	$649	+$19.63	57% 4377-3250 (7627)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$206.91	$209	+$2.09	98% 1837-39 (1876)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 85¢	$21.26	$25	+$3.74	49% 706-726 (1432)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 29¢	$6.54	$22.54	+$16	48% 950-1050 (2000)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Upavg 42.3¢	$52.76	—	+$16.54	53% 1080-957 (2037)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Downavg 99.9¢	$11.48	$11.49	+$0.01	47% 593-674 (1267)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$1.31	—	-$1.31	40% 643-968 (1611)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 14.4¢	$4.2	—	-$4.2	53% 1206-1070 (2276)
BoneOhio<$100	Downavg 61¢	$3.25	$5.33	+$2.08	74% 723-254 (977)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 58¢	$2.9	$5	+$2.1	48% 962-1040 (2002)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 8¢	$1.6	—	-$1.6	44% 945-1197 (2142)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 4.9¢	$0.33	—	-$0.33	35% 531-973 (1504)
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	— 6-0 (6)
BY ByteBadger92<$100	Downavg 46¢	$6.1	—	+$7.8	58% 1948-1427 (3375)

Invested

$629.37

Value

$649

PnL

+$19.63

Record

57%

4377-3250 (7627)

Invested

$206.91

Value

$209

PnL

+$2.09

Record

98%

1837-39 (1876)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$21.26

Value

$25

PnL

+$3.74

Record

49%

706-726 (1432)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$6.54

Value

$22.54

PnL

+$16

Record

48%

950-1050 (2000)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100

Invested

$52.76

Value

—

PnL

+$16.54

Record

53%

1080-957 (2037)

Invested

$11.48

Value

$11.49

PnL

+$0.01

Record

47%

593-674 (1267)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$1.31

Value

—

PnL

-$1.31

Record

40%

643-968 (1611)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$4.2

Value

—

PnL

-$4.2

Record

53%

1206-1070 (2276)

Invested

$3.25

Value

$5.33

PnL

+$2.08

Record

74%

723-254 (977)

Invested

$2.9

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.1

Record

48%

962-1040 (2002)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$1.6

Value

—

PnL

-$1.6

Record

44%

945-1197 (2142)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0.33

Value

—

PnL

-$0.33

Record

35%

531-973 (1504)

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

—

6-0 (6)

ByteBadger92<$100

Invested

$6.1

Value

—

PnL

+$7.8

Record

58%

1948-1427 (3375)

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 14 top traders (57%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x2b3f2d92...0d7366

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1794436800

Traders in this Market

Hcrystallash

Down — $649

hoodquant

Down — $209

uninformedfloww

Down — $25

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $22.54

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $0

0x50f7

Down — $11.49

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $0

ply-pm2

Up — $0

BoneOhio

Down — $5.33

ohioism

Down — $5

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