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DownUp
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100UpUpDownDownDownDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
Down 63%
Total Value
$132.41
Combined PnL
-$32.28
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 8 top traders (63%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down5 traders
Total Value$132.41
Total Shares132
Combined PnL+$3.12
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares105
Combined PnL-$35.4
Down — 63%Up — 37%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 99¢ | $102.98 | $104.02 | +$1.04 | 57% 4366-3247 (7613) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $13.5 | — | -$13.5 | 49% 3410-3533 (6943) |
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 33.4¢ | $21.3 | — | -$21.3 | 53% 1061-944 (2005) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.6 | — | -$0.6 | 52% 3722-3489 (7211) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 96.5¢ | $10.67 | $11.05 | +$0.38 | 66% 1742-899 (2641) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 81.6¢ | $5.99 | $7.34 | +$1.35 | 53% 1194-1050 (2244) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $4.8 | $5 | +$0.2 | 61% 1209-787 (1996) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $4.85 | $5 | +$0.15 | 61% 1965-1241 (3206) |
HC
HcrystallashInvested
$102.98
Value
$104.02
PnL
+$1.04
Record
57%
4366-3247 (7613)
AS
asdcaxzCTR<$100Invested
$13.5
Value
—
PnL
-$13.5
Record
49%
3410-3533 (6943)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$21.3
Value
—
PnL
-$21.3
Record
53%
1061-944 (2005)
BL
blue.birdsCTR<$100Invested
$0.6
Value
—
PnL
-$0.6
Record
52%
3722-3489 (7211)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$10.67
Value
$11.05
PnL
+$0.38
Record
66%
1742-899 (2641)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$5.99
Value
$7.34
PnL
+$1.35
Record
53%
1194-1050 (2244)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$4.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.2
Record
61%
1209-787 (1996)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$4.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.15
Record
61%
1965-1241 (3206)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x97f35ff4...e47cc8
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1794433200