Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Up 71%
2 arb excluded
$1.3K
$312.5
Smart Money Signal
12 of 16 top traders (75%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR | Downavg 34.8¢ | $104.44 | — | -$104.44 | 37% 422-726 (1148) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 54.8¢ | $147.44 | $160.56 | +$13.12 | 49% 3410-3533 (6943) |
 Polkadot-FrogARB<$100 | Downavg 42.7¢ | $161.96 | $177.33 | +$32.22 | 53% 1061-944 (2005) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 42.7¢ | $76.84 | — | -$68.53 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 43.2¢ | $76.58 | $177.33 | +$100.75 | |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 22.4¢ | $62.02 | — | -$62.02 | 53% 1194-1050 (2244) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 29.9¢ | $175.72 | $588.68 | +$412.95 | 49% 683-704 (1387) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 65.8¢ | $113.5 | $79.56 | -$20.84 | 50% 1247-1236 (2483) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $29.41 | $53.57 | +$24.16 | 48% 937-1035 (1972) |
BL blue.birdsARB<$100 | Upavg 55.7¢ | $56.54 | $87.16 | +$30.62 | 52% 3722-3489 (7211) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 22¢ | $8.02 | — | -$8.02 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 55.7¢ | $48.52 | $87.16 | +$38.64 | |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $20.08 | $26.59 | +$6.51 | 66% 1742-899 (2641) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 48.7¢ | $23.9 | $45 | +$21.1 | 44% 932-1181 (2113) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $69.39 | $70.09 | +$0.7 | 57% 4366-3247 (7613) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 37¢ | $5.8 | — | -$5.8 | 61% 1965-1241 (3206) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 42.3¢ | $4.17 | $7.09 | +$2.92 | 61% 1209-787 (1996) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $5.6 | — | -$5.6 | 48% 948-1028 (1976) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 20.8¢ | $3.65 | $17.54 | +$13.89 | 35% 522-960 (1482) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 30¢ | $3.08 | $10.27 | +$7.19 | 38% 680-1107 (1787) |
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | — 6-0 (6) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Upavg 48.5¢ | $15.61 | — | +$8.65 | 58% 1912-1406 (3318) |
Invested
$104.44
Value
—
PnL
-$104.44
Record
37%
422-726 (1148)
Invested
$147.44
Value
$160.56
PnL
+$13.12
Record
49%
3410-3533 (6943)
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100Invested
$161.96
Value
$177.33
PnL
+$32.22
Record
53%
1061-944 (2005)
Both legs:
Invested
$62.02
Value
—
PnL
-$62.02
Record
53%
1194-1050 (2244)
Invested
$175.72
Value
$588.68
PnL
+$412.95
Record
49%
683-704 (1387)
Invested
$113.5
Value
$79.56
PnL
-$20.84
Record
50%
1247-1236 (2483)
Invested
$29.41
Value
$53.57
PnL
+$24.16
Record
48%
937-1035 (1972)
Invested
$56.54
Value
$87.16
PnL
+$30.62
Record
52%
3722-3489 (7211)
Both legs:
Invested
$20.08
Value
$26.59
PnL
+$6.51
Record
66%
1742-899 (2641)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$23.9
Value
$45
PnL
+$21.1
Record
44%
932-1181 (2113)
Invested
$69.39
Value
$70.09
PnL
+$0.7
Record
57%
4366-3247 (7613)
Invested
$5.8
Value
—
PnL
-$5.8
Record
61%
1965-1241 (3206)
Invested
$4.17
Value
$7.09
PnL
+$2.92
Record
61%
1209-787 (1996)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$5.6
Value
—
PnL
-$5.6
Record
48%
948-1028 (1976)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$3.65
Value
$17.54
PnL
+$13.89
Record
35%
522-960 (1482)
Invested
$3.08
Value
$10.27
PnL
+$7.19
Record
38%
680-1107 (1787)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
—
6-0 (6)
Invested
$15.61
Value
—
PnL
+$8.65
Record
58%
1912-1406 (3318)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRDown — $0
asdcaxz
Up — $160.56
Polkadot-Frog
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
CTRDown — $0
uninformedfloww
Up — $588.68
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $79.56
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $53.57
blue.birds
ARBArbitrage — excluded
asdaefef
Up — $26.59
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $45