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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

13

Up 73%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$534.31

Combined PnL

$173.92

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 13 top traders (62%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders

Total Value$470.53

Total Shares471

Combined PnL+$172.38

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares166

Combined PnL+$1.54

Up — 62%Down — 38%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 66.8¢	$136.53	$204.53	+$68	47% 874-991 (1865)
AS asdcaxzARB<$100	Upavg 58.5¢	$50.9	$63.78	+$12.88	49% 3341-3455 (6796)
└ Up leg	Upavg 58.5¢	$37.3	$63.78	+$26.48
└ Down leg	Downavg 18.1¢	$13.6	—	-$13.6
BL blue.birds<$100	Upavg 66.5¢	$42.96	$60	+$17.04	52% 3643-3416 (7059)
PB PBot-5<$100	Upavg 43.4¢	$38.22	$88	+$49.78	47% 529-591 (1120)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 52¢	$35.94	$53.27	+$17.33	53% 1124-990 (2114)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Upavg 54.4¢	$36.49	$37.89	+$10.99	53% 1012-899 (1911)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 3.4¢	$2.7	—	-$2.7	36% 492-888 (1380)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 3.4¢	$2.64	—	-$2.64	40% 595-876 (1471)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 68.7¢	$9.63	$11.17	+$1.54	66% 1638-859 (2497)
HC Hcrystallash<$100	Upavg 41¢	$5.33	$13	+$7.67	57% 4323-3230 (7553)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Downavg 51¢	$7.4	—	-$2.5	61% 1857-1168 (3025)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$2.64	$2.67	+$0.03	98% 1703-36 (1739)
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR<$100	Down	—	—	+$0	— 6-0 (6)
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100	Downavg 10¢	$9.8	—	+$9.38	58% 1791-1312 (3103)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$136.53

Value

$204.53

PnL

+$68

Record

47%

874-991 (1865)

asdcaxzARB<$100

Invested

$50.9

Value

$63.78

PnL

+$12.88

Record

49%

3341-3455 (6796)

Both legs:

Up$37.358.5¢+$26.48

Down$13.618.1¢-$13.6

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$42.96

Value

$60

PnL

+$17.04

Record

52%

3643-3416 (7059)

Invested

$38.22

Value

$88

PnL

+$49.78

Record

47%

529-591 (1120)

Invested

$35.94

Value

$53.27

PnL

+$17.33

Record

53%

1124-990 (2114)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$36.49

Value

$37.89

PnL

+$10.99

Record

53%

1012-899 (1911)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$2.7

Value

—

PnL

-$2.7

Record

36%

492-888 (1380)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$2.64

Value

—

PnL

-$2.64

Record

40%

595-876 (1471)

Invested

$9.63

Value

$11.17

PnL

+$1.54

Record

66%

1638-859 (2497)

Hcrystallash<$100

Invested

$5.33

Value

$13

PnL

+$7.67

Record

57%

4323-3230 (7553)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Invested

$7.4

Value

—

PnL

-$2.5

Record

61%

1857-1168 (3025)

Invested

$2.64

Value

$2.67

PnL

+$0.03

Record

98%

1703-36 (1739)

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

—

6-0 (6)

ByteBadger92CTR<$100

Invested

$9.8

Value

—

PnL

+$9.38

Record

58%

1791-1312 (3103)

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 13 top traders (62%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xd3bf9ee5...e18a76

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1794418500

Traders in this Market

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $204.53

asdcaxz

Arbitrage — excluded

blue.birds

Up — $60

PBot-5

Up — $88

ply-pm2

Up — $53.27

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $37.89

pspspsps5

Down — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $0

asdaefef

Up — $11.17

Hcrystallash

Up — $13

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