Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
19
Up 58%
$412.99
-$708.25
Smart Money Signal
11 of 19 top traders (58%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OhioRiskManagement | Downavg 5.1¢ | $9.06 | $177.76 | +$168.7 | 40% 536-816 (1352) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR | Upavg 43.3¢ | $110.51 | — | -$110.51 | 51% 1054-1033 (2087) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 82.5¢ | $71.38 | — | -$70.94 | 49% 3270-3379 (6649) |
HO hoodquantCTR | Upavg 98.8¢ | $495.11 | — | -$495.11 | 98% 1594-33 (1627) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $49.95 | $50 | +$0.05 | 46% 507-597 (1104) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 83.3¢ | $53.85 | $47.49 | -$5.73 | 62% 1746-1091 (2837) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $53.11 | — | -$53.11 | 53% 1050-932 (1982) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 59.9¢ | $50.33 | $38.06 | -$6.97 | 48% 838-904 (1742) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 45.1¢ | $64.28 | — | -$64.28 | 52% 3572-3348 (6920) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $20.98 | $21 | +$0.02 | 53% 938-848 (1786) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $16.2 | — | -$16.2 | 44% 821-1039 (1860) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 36.8¢ | $27.73 | — | -$14.33 | 65% 1531-815 (2346) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $12.25 | $25 | +$12.75 | 74% 622-215 (837) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 13.6¢ | $12.15 | $45.71 | +$33.56 | 35% 450-832 (1282) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $3.35 | $7.97 | +$4.62 | 38% 603-967 (1570) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $5.75 | — | -$5.75 | 60% 1062-712 (1774) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $3.6 | — | -$3.6 | 57% 4281-3209 (7490) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 32.4¢ | $16.51 | — | -$16.51 | 46% 809-946 (1755) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | $64.9 | — | -$64.9 | 47% 485-549 (1034) |
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$9.06
Value
$177.76
PnL
+$168.7
Record
40%
536-816 (1352)
Invested
$110.51
Value
—
PnL
-$110.51
Record
51%
1054-1033 (2087)
Invested
$71.38
Value
—
PnL
-$70.94
Record
49%
3270-3379 (6649)
Invested
$495.11
Value
—
PnL
-$495.11
Record
98%
1594-33 (1627)
Invested
$49.95
Value
$50
PnL
+$0.05
Record
46%
507-597 (1104)
Invested
$53.85
Value
$47.49
PnL
-$5.73
Record
62%
1746-1091 (2837)
Invested
$53.11
Value
—
PnL
-$53.11
Record
53%
1050-932 (1982)
ohioism<$100Invested
$50.33
Value
$38.06
PnL
-$6.97
Record
48%
838-904 (1742)
Invested
$64.28
Value
—
PnL
-$64.28
Record
52%
3572-3348 (6920)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$20.98
Value
$21
PnL
+$0.02
Record
53%
938-848 (1786)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$16.2
Value
—
PnL
-$16.2
Record
44%
821-1039 (1860)
Invested
$27.73
Value
—
PnL
-$14.33
Record
65%
1531-815 (2346)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$12.25
Value
$25
PnL
+$12.75
Record
74%
622-215 (837)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$12.15
Value
$45.71
PnL
+$33.56
Record
35%
450-832 (1282)
Invested
$3.35
Value
$7.97
PnL
+$4.62
Record
38%
603-967 (1570)
Invested
$5.75
Value
—
PnL
-$5.75
Record
60%
1062-712 (1774)
Invested
$3.6
Value
—
PnL
-$3.6
Record
57%
4281-3209 (7490)
Invested
$16.51
Value
—
PnL
-$16.51
Record
46%
809-946 (1755)
Invested
$64.9
Value
—
PnL
-$64.9
Record
47%
485-549 (1034)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $177.76
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRUp — $0
asdcaxz
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
CTRUp — $0
0x50f7
Down — $50
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $47.49
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
ohioism
Down — $38.06
blue.birds
CTRUp — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $21