Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Down 47%
1 arb excluded
$2.1K
-$391.31
Smart Money Signal
7 of 15 top traders (47%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99¢ | $1.0K | $1.0K | +$10.45 | 46% 507-597 (1104) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 59.1¢ | $1.0K | $891.19 | -$138.99 | 51% 1054-1033 (2087) |
BL blue.birdsCTR | Upavg 38.9¢ | $125.66 | — | -$123.98 | 52% 3572-3348 (6920) |
 Polkadot-FrogARB<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $93.77 | $107.1 | +$13.33 | 53% 938-848 (1786) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 39.2¢ | $42.01 | $107.1 | +$65.08 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 44¢ | $51.76 | — | -$51.76 | |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 28.4¢ | $71.67 | — | -$71.67 | 53% 1050-932 (1982) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 40.2¢ | $70.35 | — | -$70.35 | 49% 3270-3379 (6649) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 92.5¢ | $27.75 | $30 | +$2.25 | 98% 1594-33 (1627) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 47.5¢ | $20.04 | — | -$20.04 | 65% 1531-815 (2346) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 30.8¢ | $6.22 | $20.17 | +$13.95 | 44% 821-1039 (1860) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 46.5¢ | $4.65 | $10 | +$5.35 | 74% 622-215 (837) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $4.19 | $9.74 | +$5.55 | 60% 1062-712 (1774) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 40.3¢ | $18.9 | — | +$10.1 | 58% 1663-1228 (2891) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $2.2 | $6.11 | +$3.91 | 40% 536-816 (1352) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 5.8¢ | $7.91 | — | -$5.96 | 62% 1746-1091 (2837) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 38% 603-967 (1570) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 59.1¢ | $11.83 | — | -$11.83 | 48% 838-904 (1742) |
Invested
$1,034.92
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$10.45
Record
46%
507-597 (1104)
Invested
$1,030.19
Value
$891.19
PnL
-$138.99
Record
51%
1054-1033 (2087)
Invested
$125.66
Value
—
PnL
-$123.98
Record
52%
3572-3348 (6920)
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100Invested
$93.77
Value
$107.1
PnL
+$13.33
Record
53%
938-848 (1786)
Both legs:
Invested
$71.67
Value
—
PnL
-$71.67
Record
53%
1050-932 (1982)
Invested
$70.35
Value
—
PnL
-$70.35
Record
49%
3270-3379 (6649)
Invested
$27.75
Value
$30
PnL
+$2.25
Record
98%
1594-33 (1627)
Invested
$20.04
Value
—
PnL
-$20.04
Record
65%
1531-815 (2346)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$6.22
Value
$20.17
PnL
+$13.95
Record
44%
821-1039 (1860)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$4.65
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.35
Record
74%
622-215 (837)
Invested
$4.19
Value
$9.74
PnL
+$5.55
Record
60%
1062-712 (1774)
Invested
$18.9
Value
—
PnL
+$10.1
Record
58%
1663-1228 (2891)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$2.2
Value
$6.11
PnL
+$3.91
Record
40%
536-816 (1352)
Invested
$7.91
Value
—
PnL
-$5.96
Record
62%
1746-1091 (2837)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
38%
603-967 (1570)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$11.83
Value
—
PnL
-$11.83
Record
48%
838-904 (1742)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $1.0K
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $891.19
blue.birds
CTRUp — $0
Polkadot-Frog
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
asdcaxz
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $30
asdaefef
CTRUp — $0
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $20.17
BoneOhio
Down — $10