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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

14

Up 62%

Total Value

$81.89

Combined PnL

-$20.25

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 14 top traders (57%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders

Total Value$81.89

Total Shares82

Combined PnL+$5.89

Up8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares800

Combined PnL-$26.14

Down — 43%Up — 57%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 47.7¢	$29.57	$34.63	+$5.07	46% 809-946 (1755)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 95.8¢	$19.62	$18.92	-$0.7	53% 1050-932 (1982)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 96.2¢	$15.72	$16.33	+$0.61	65% 1531-815 (2346)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 97¢	$6.79	$7	+$0.21	60% 1062-712 (1774)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 2.4¢	$2.67	—	-$2.67	35% 450-832 (1282)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 3¢	$1.24	—	-$1.24	44% 821-1039 (1860)
PB PBot-5<$100	Downavg 50¢	$2.5	$5	+$2.5	47% 485-549 (1034)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 3¢	$1.02	—	-$1.02	52% 3572-3348 (6920)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 4.2¢	$2.93	—	-$2.93	51% 1054-1033 (2087)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 3¢	$1.32	—	-$1.32	40% 536-816 (1352)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Upavg 7.4¢	$4.31	—	-$4.31	49% 3270-3379 (6649)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 6¢	$1.2	—	-$1.2	48% 838-904 (1742)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 2.7¢	$11.44	—	-$11.44	37% 374-624 (998)
BY ByteBadger92<$100	Downavg 86¢	$8.6	—	-$1.8	58% 1663-1228 (2891)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$29.57

Value

$34.63

PnL

+$5.07

Record

46%

809-946 (1755)

Invested

$19.62

Value

$18.92

PnL

-$0.7

Record

53%

1050-932 (1982)

Invested

$15.72

Value

$16.33

PnL

+$0.61

Record

65%

1531-815 (2346)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$6.79

Value

$7

PnL

+$0.21

Record

60%

1062-712 (1774)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$2.67

Value

—

PnL

-$2.67

Record

35%

450-832 (1282)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$1.24

Value

—

PnL

-$1.24

Record

44%

821-1039 (1860)

Invested

$2.5

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.5

Record

47%

485-549 (1034)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$1.02

Value

—

PnL

-$1.02

Record

52%

3572-3348 (6920)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$2.93

Value

—

PnL

-$2.93

Record

51%

1054-1033 (2087)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$1.32

Value

—

PnL

-$1.32

Record

40%

536-816 (1352)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$4.31

Value

—

PnL

-$4.31

Record

49%

3270-3379 (6649)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$1.2

Value

—

PnL

-$1.2

Record

48%

838-904 (1742)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$11.44

Value

—

PnL

-$11.44

Record

37%

374-624 (998)

ByteBadger92<$100

Invested

$8.6

Value

—

PnL

-$1.8

Record

58%

1663-1228 (2891)

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 14 top traders (57%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x4ad27a2b...5d9150

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1794405900

Traders in this Market

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $34.63

ply-pm2

Down — $18.92

asdaefef

Down — $16.33

asidjasiodja

Down — $7

pspspsps5

Up — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $0

PBot-5

Down — $5

blue.birds

Up — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $0

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