Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Up 75%
1 arb excluded
$769.42
-$81.99
Smart Money Signal
13 of 17 top traders (76%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 63.1¢ | $367.22 | $346.68 | -$20.54 | 51% 1054-1033 (2087) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 94.9¢ | $114.15 | $120.26 | +$6.11 | 46% 809-946 (1755) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $92.29 | — | -$92.29 | 52% 3572-3348 (6920) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $84.93 | $85.79 | +$0.86 | 98% 1594-33 (1627) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 37.1¢ | $41.5 | $70 | +$37.2 | 49% 3270-3379 (6649) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 34.5¢ | $42.27 | $36.29 | -$5.98 | 53% 1050-932 (1982) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 41.7¢ | $15.14 | $36.29 | +$21.15 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 34.5¢ | $27.13 | — | -$27.13 | |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 45.6¢ | $31.84 | — | -$31.84 | 53% 938-848 (1786) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 59.5¢ | $24.82 | $40 | +$15.18 | 48% 838-904 (1742) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $20.11 | $19 | -$1.11 | 62% 1746-1091 (2837) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 74.3¢ | $20.54 | $13.32 | -$5.66 | 40% 536-816 (1352) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 77.1¢ | $9.25 | $12 | +$2.75 | 65% 1531-815 (2346) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $5.7 | — | -$5.7 | 74% 622-215 (837) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $4.15 | $5.25 | +$1.1 | 60% 1062-712 (1774) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $4.1 | $8.03 | +$3.93 | 47% 485-549 (1034) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 32.2¢ | $16.38 | — | +$1.77 | 58% 1663-1228 (2891) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $3.64 | $7.59 | +$3.95 | 38% 603-967 (1570) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $2.75 | $5 | +$2.25 | 37% 374-624 (998) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $0.16 | $0.21 | +$0.05 | 57% 4281-3209 (7490) |
Invested
$367.22
Value
$346.68
PnL
-$20.54
Record
51%
1054-1033 (2087)
Invested
$114.15
Value
$120.26
PnL
+$6.11
Record
46%
809-946 (1755)
Invested
$92.29
Value
—
PnL
-$92.29
Record
52%
3572-3348 (6920)
Invested
$84.93
Value
$85.79
PnL
+$0.86
Record
98%
1594-33 (1627)
Invested
$41.5
Value
$70
PnL
+$37.2
Record
49%
3270-3379 (6649)
Invested
$42.27
Value
$36.29
PnL
-$5.98
Record
53%
1050-932 (1982)
Both legs:
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$31.84
Value
—
PnL
-$31.84
Record
53%
938-848 (1786)
ohioism<$100Invested
$24.82
Value
$40
PnL
+$15.18
Record
48%
838-904 (1742)
Invested
$20.11
Value
$19
PnL
-$1.11
Record
62%
1746-1091 (2837)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$20.54
Value
$13.32
PnL
-$5.66
Record
40%
536-816 (1352)
Invested
$9.25
Value
$12
PnL
+$2.75
Record
65%
1531-815 (2346)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$5.7
Value
—
PnL
-$5.7
Record
74%
622-215 (837)
Invested
$4.15
Value
$5.25
PnL
+$1.1
Record
60%
1062-712 (1774)
Invested
$4.1
Value
$8.03
PnL
+$3.93
Record
47%
485-549 (1034)
Invested
$16.38
Value
—
PnL
+$1.77
Record
58%
1663-1228 (2891)
Invested
$3.64
Value
$7.59
PnL
+$3.95
Record
38%
603-967 (1570)
Invested
$2.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.25
Record
37%
374-624 (998)
Invested
$0.16
Value
$0.21
PnL
+$0.05
Record
57%
4281-3209 (7490)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $346.68
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $120.26
blue.birds
CTRDown — $0
hoodquant
Up — $85.79
asdcaxz
Up — $70
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0
ohioism
Up — $40
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $19
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $13.32