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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Resolved Up. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Down 69%

Total Value

$47.39

Combined PnL

-$46.58

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 13 top traders (69%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares748

Combined PnL-$55.07

Up4 traders

Total Value$47.39

Total Shares47

Combined PnL+$8.49

Down — 69%Up — 31%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 48¢	$16.32	—	-$16.32	46% 786-920 (1706)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Upavg 84.3¢	$13	$14	+$1.2	53% 908-821 (1729)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 93¢	$12.45	$13.39	+$0.94	65% 1481-789 (2270)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 41¢	$8.2	—	-$8.2	48% 807-866 (1673)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 60¢	$9	$15	+$6	53% 1020-898 (1918)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 93¢	$4.65	$5	+$0.35	60% 1032-684 (1716)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 17.3¢	$10.2	—	-$10.2	51% 1009-957 (1966)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Downavg 15.5¢	$12.4	—	-$12.4	49% 3233-3339 (6572)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$3	—	-$3	38% 369-603 (972)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 1.2¢	$1.83	—	-$1.83	35% 429-801 (1230)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Downavg 3¢	$0.45	—	-$0.45	52% 3542-3305 (6847)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 2.4¢	$2.62	—	-$2.62	39% 508-784 (1292)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	39% 586-930 (1516)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$16.32

Value

—

PnL

-$16.32

Record

46%

786-920 (1706)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$13

Value

$14

PnL

+$1.2

Record

53%

908-821 (1729)

Invested

$12.45

Value

$13.39

PnL

+$0.94

Record

65%

1481-789 (2270)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$8.2

Value

—

PnL

-$8.2

Record

48%

807-866 (1673)

Invested

$9

Value

$15

PnL

+$6

Record

53%

1020-898 (1918)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$4.65

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.35

Record

60%

1032-684 (1716)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$10.2

Value

—

PnL

-$10.2

Record

51%

1009-957 (1966)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$12.4

Value

—

PnL

-$12.4

Record

49%

3233-3339 (6572)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$3

Value

—

PnL

-$3

Record

38%

369-603 (972)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$1.83

Value

—

PnL

-$1.83

Record

35%

429-801 (1230)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$0.45

Value

—

PnL

-$0.45

Record

52%

3542-3305 (6847)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$2.62

Value

—

PnL

-$2.62

Record

39%

508-784 (1292)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

39%

586-930 (1516)

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 13 top traders (69%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x52ddc86c...fa962a

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1794399300

Traders in this Market

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $0

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $14

asdaefef

Up — $13.39

ohioism

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Up — $15

asidjasiodja

Up — $5

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

asdcaxz

Down — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $0

pspspsps5

Down — $0

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