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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

14

Down 62%

Total Value

$281.6

Combined PnL

$6.99

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 14 top traders (64%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down9 traders

Total Value$281.6

Total Shares282

Combined PnL+$49.55

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares86

Combined PnL-$42.56

Down — 64%Up — 36%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HC Hcrystallash	Downavg 99¢	$156.54	$158.12	+$1.58	57% 4261-3201 (7462)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 45.2¢	$20.48	$36.31	+$15.83	51% 1009-957 (1966)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Upavg 50.4¢	$28.2	—	-$28.2	49% 3233-3339 (6572)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 50¢	$25	$50	+$25	46% 786-920 (1706)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 78.9¢	$13.7	$15.05	+$1.34	53% 1020-898 (1918)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 69¢	$7.1	$10.29	+$3.19	65% 1481-789 (2270)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 98¢	$4.95	$5.05	+$0.1	60% 1032-684 (1716)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 68¢	$3.4	$5	+$1.6	61% 1683-1060 (2743)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 18¢	$1.35	—	-$1.35	52% 3542-3305 (6847)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 37¢	$1.85	—	-$1.85	39% 508-784 (1292)
38 38791873984189<$100	Downavg 49¢	$0.87	$1.77	+$0.9	48% 1286-1384 (2670)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Upavg 3¢	$0.06	—	-$0.06	46% 487-576 (1063)
BoneOhioCTR<$100	Upavg 74¢	$11.1	—	-$11.1	75% 606-205 (811)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 33¢	$0	$0.01	+$0.01	53% 908-821 (1729)

Invested

$156.54

Value

$158.12

PnL

+$1.58

Record

57%

4261-3201 (7462)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$20.48

Value

$36.31

PnL

+$15.83

Record

51%

1009-957 (1966)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$28.2

Value

—

PnL

-$28.2

Record

49%

3233-3339 (6572)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$25

Value

$50

PnL

+$25

Record

46%

786-920 (1706)

Invested

$13.7

Value

$15.05

PnL

+$1.34

Record

53%

1020-898 (1918)

Invested

$7.1

Value

$10.29

PnL

+$3.19

Record

65%

1481-789 (2270)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5.05

PnL

+$0.1

Record

60%

1032-684 (1716)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$3.4

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.6

Record

61%

1683-1060 (2743)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$1.35

Value

—

PnL

-$1.35

Record

52%

3542-3305 (6847)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$1.85

Value

—

PnL

-$1.85

Record

39%

508-784 (1292)

38791873984189<$100

Invested

$0.87

Value

$1.77

PnL

+$0.9

Record

48%

1286-1384 (2670)

Invested

$0.06

Value

—

PnL

-$0.06

Record

46%

487-576 (1063)

BoneOhioCTR<$100

Invested

$11.1

Value

—

PnL

-$11.1

Record

75%

606-205 (811)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$0

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$0.01

Record

53%

908-821 (1729)

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 14 top traders (64%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa578bdf6...aa554e

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1794399000

Traders in this Market

Hcrystallash

Down — $158.12

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $36.31

asdcaxz

Up — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $50

ply-pm2

Down — $15.05

asdaefef

Down — $10.29

asidjasiodja

Down — $5.05

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $5

blue.birds

Up — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $0

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