Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
14
Down 64%
$235.79
-$128.71
Smart Money Signal
9 of 14 top traders (64%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 52.3Β’ | $91.26 | β | -$91.26 | 46% 786-920 (1706) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 76.8Β’ | $92.23 | $78.22 | -$14.01 | 51% 1009-957 (1966) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98.2Β’ | $42.22 | $43 | +$0.78 | 98% 1544-32 (1576) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 71.5Β’ | $26.32 | $36.82 | +$10.5 | 52% 3542-3305 (6847) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 25.4Β’ | $63.84 | β | -$29.54 | 49% 3233-3339 (6572) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 79.1Β’ | $26.47 | $23.03 | -$3.44 | 53% 1020-898 (1918) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 71Β’ | $14.7 | $14.2 | -$0.5 | 65% 1481-789 (2270) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 47Β’ | $8.46 | β | -$8.46 | 48% 807-866 (1673) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 46Β’ | $8.65 | $10.21 | +$2.26 | 61% 1683-1060 (2743) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 41Β’ | $6.97 | $17 | +$10.03 | 57% 4261-3201 (7462) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 96Β’ | $6.96 | $7.25 | +$0.29 | 35% 429-801 (1230) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98Β’ | $5.94 | $6.06 | +$0.12 | 60% 1032-684 (1716) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 52Β’ | $5.2 | β | -$5.2 | 58% 1605-1176 (2781) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.28 | β | -$0.28 | 39% 508-784 (1292) |
Invested
$91.26
Value
β
PnL
-$91.26
Record
46%
786-920 (1706)
Invested
$92.23
Value
$78.22
PnL
-$14.01
Record
51%
1009-957 (1966)
Invested
$42.22
Value
$43
PnL
+$0.78
Record
98%
1544-32 (1576)
Invested
$26.32
Value
$36.82
PnL
+$10.5
Record
52%
3542-3305 (6847)
Invested
$63.84
Value
β
PnL
-$29.54
Record
49%
3233-3339 (6572)
Invested
$26.47
Value
$23.03
PnL
-$3.44
Record
53%
1020-898 (1918)
Invested
$14.7
Value
$14.2
PnL
-$0.5
Record
65%
1481-789 (2270)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$8.46
Value
β
PnL
-$8.46
Record
48%
807-866 (1673)
Invested
$8.65
Value
$10.21
PnL
+$2.26
Record
61%
1683-1060 (2743)
Invested
$6.97
Value
$17
PnL
+$10.03
Record
57%
4261-3201 (7462)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$6.96
Value
$7.25
PnL
+$0.29
Record
35%
429-801 (1230)
Invested
$5.94
Value
$6.06
PnL
+$0.12
Record
60%
1032-684 (1716)
Invested
$5.2
Value
β
PnL
-$5.2
Record
58%
1605-1176 (2781)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$0.28
Value
β
PnL
-$0.28
Record
39%
508-784 (1292)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $78.22
hoodquant
Down β $43
blue.birds
Down β $36.82
asdcaxz
CTRUp β $0
ply-pm2
Down β $23.03
asdaefef
Down β $14.2

ohioism
CTRUp β $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $10.21
Hcrystallash
Down β $17