Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Resolved Up. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
14
Up 85%
$621.26
$44.77
Smart Money Signal
12 of 14 top traders (86%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BL blue.birds | Upavg 73.7Β’ | $189.32 | $209.43 | +$22.31 | 52% 3510-3269 (6779) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 65.2Β’ | $125.37 | $130.67 | +$5.31 | 51% 933-914 (1847) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.5Β’ | $127.08 | $128.95 | +$1.87 | 98% 1499-31 (1530) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 69.7Β’ | $52.21 | $47.48 | -$2.78 | 49% 3193-3306 (6499) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 58Β’ | $44.2 | $37.96 | +$6.06 | 53% 969-866 (1835) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 52.8Β’ | $10.06 | $17.8 | +$7.74 | 53% 887-786 (1673) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 43Β’ | $12.01 | $15 | +$2.99 | 45% 772-956 (1728) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 75Β’ | $12.71 | $13 | +$0.29 | 65% 1431-763 (2194) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 72.4Β’ | $12.63 | $5.02 | -$0.11 | 62% 1634-1017 (2651) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 94Β’ | $6.51 | $5.11 | -$1.4 | 60% 1005-663 (1668) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $5 | $10 | +$5 | 58% 1531-1106 (2637) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 2Β’ | $0.22 | β | -$0.22 | 35% 408-771 (1179) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Upavg 49Β’ | $0.41 | $0.84 | +$0.43 | 48% 1257-1350 (2607) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 4Β’ | $2.72 | β | -$2.72 | 39% 480-751 (1231) |
Invested
$189.32
Value
$209.43
PnL
+$22.31
Record
52%
3510-3269 (6779)
Invested
$125.37
Value
$130.67
PnL
+$5.31
Record
51%
933-914 (1847)
Invested
$127.08
Value
$128.95
PnL
+$1.87
Record
98%
1499-31 (1530)
Invested
$52.21
Value
$47.48
PnL
-$2.78
Record
49%
3193-3306 (6499)
Invested
$44.2
Value
$37.96
PnL
+$6.06
Record
53%
969-866 (1835)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$10.06
Value
$17.8
PnL
+$7.74
Record
53%
887-786 (1673)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$12.01
Value
$15
PnL
+$2.99
Record
45%
772-956 (1728)
Invested
$12.71
Value
$13
PnL
+$0.29
Record
65%
1431-763 (2194)
Invested
$12.63
Value
$5.02
PnL
-$0.11
Record
62%
1634-1017 (2651)
Invested
$6.51
Value
$5.11
PnL
-$1.4
Record
60%
1005-663 (1668)
Invested
$5
Value
$10
PnL
+$5
Record
58%
1531-1106 (2637)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.22
Value
β
PnL
-$0.22
Record
35%
408-771 (1179)
Invested
$0.41
Value
$0.84
PnL
+$0.43
Record
48%
1257-1350 (2607)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.72
Value
β
PnL
-$2.72
Record
39%
480-751 (1231)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
blue.birds
Up β $209.43
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $130.67
hoodquant
Up β $128.95
asdcaxz
Up β $47.48
ply-pm2
Up β $37.96

Polkadot-Frog
Up β $17.8

G-Penis-Monster
Up β $15
asdaefef
Up β $13
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $5.02
asidjasiodja
Up β $5.11