Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Down 58%
$76.89
-$53.63
Smart Money Signal
7 of 12 top traders (58%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $27.8 | $30 | +$2.2 | 53% 931-840 (1771) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 32.6¢ | $54.32 | — | -$52.37 | 49% 3158-3267 (6425) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 92.5¢ | $20.4 | $15 | -$0.7 | 62% 1585-980 (2565) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 87.1¢ | $11.57 | $13.29 | +$1.72 | 65% 1384-737 (2121) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 85.3¢ | $30.55 | $5 | +$1.9 | 53% 851-764 (1615) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 60% 971-647 (1618) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 12.3¢ | $4.3 | — | -$4.3 | 52% 3476-3233 (6709) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $3.16 | $6.46 | +$3.29 | 48% 1202-1284 (2486) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $2.1 | $2.14 | +$0.04 | 98% 1462-31 (1493) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.9¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 35% 390-738 (1128) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 58% 1473-1061 (2534) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 3.9¢ | $3.17 | — | -$3.17 | 38% 449-718 (1167) |
Invested
$27.8
Value
$30
PnL
+$2.2
Record
53%
931-840 (1771)
Invested
$54.32
Value
—
PnL
-$52.37
Record
49%
3158-3267 (6425)
Invested
$20.4
Value
$15
PnL
-$0.7
Record
62%
1585-980 (2565)
Invested
$11.57
Value
$13.29
PnL
+$1.72
Record
65%
1384-737 (2121)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$30.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.9
Record
53%
851-764 (1615)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
60%
971-647 (1618)
Invested
$4.3
Value
—
PnL
-$4.3
Record
52%
3476-3233 (6709)
Invested
$3.16
Value
$6.46
PnL
+$3.29
Record
48%
1202-1284 (2486)
Invested
$2.1
Value
$2.14
PnL
+$0.04
Record
98%
1462-31 (1493)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
35%
390-738 (1128)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
58%
1473-1061 (2534)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.17
Value
—
PnL
-$3.17
Record
38%
449-718 (1167)