Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Resolved Down. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Down 38%
$245.98
-$29.35
Smart Money Signal
5 of 13 top traders (38%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 99Β’ | $101.95 | $102.98 | +$1.03 | 57% 4217-3173 (7390) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98Β’ | $74.39 | $75.91 | +$1.52 | 98% 1462-31 (1493) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 65Β’ | $56.5 | $50 | -$6.5 | 49% 3158-3267 (6425) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 80Β’ | $9.95 | $10 | +$0.05 | 62% 1585-980 (2565) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 38Β’ | $5.7 | β | -$5.7 | 53% 931-840 (1771) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 46Β’ | $6.9 | β | -$6.9 | 47% 445-493 (938) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 80Β’ | $5.67 | $7.09 | +$1.42 | 65% 1384-737 (2121) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 43Β’ | $4.3 | β | -$4.3 | 58% 1473-1061 (2534) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 11Β’ | $3.87 | β | -$3.87 | 52% 3476-3233 (6709) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 35Β’ | $1.75 | β | -$1.75 | 53% 851-764 (1615) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2Β’ | $1.7 | β | -$1.7 | 45% 437-543 (980) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2Β’ | $1.33 | β | -$1.33 | 35% 390-738 (1128) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $1.32 | β | -$1.32 | 38% 449-718 (1167) |
Invested
$101.95
Value
$102.98
PnL
+$1.03
Record
57%
4217-3173 (7390)
Invested
$74.39
Value
$75.91
PnL
+$1.52
Record
98%
1462-31 (1493)
Invested
$56.5
Value
$50
PnL
-$6.5
Record
49%
3158-3267 (6425)
Invested
$9.95
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.05
Record
62%
1585-980 (2565)
Invested
$5.7
Value
β
PnL
-$5.7
Record
53%
931-840 (1771)
Invested
$6.9
Value
β
PnL
-$6.9
Record
47%
445-493 (938)
Invested
$5.67
Value
$7.09
PnL
+$1.42
Record
65%
1384-737 (2121)
Invested
$4.3
Value
β
PnL
-$4.3
Record
58%
1473-1061 (2534)
Invested
$3.87
Value
β
PnL
-$3.87
Record
52%
3476-3233 (6709)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$1.75
Value
β
PnL
-$1.75
Record
53%
851-764 (1615)
Invested
$1.7
Value
β
PnL
-$1.7
Record
45%
437-543 (980)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.33
Value
β
PnL
-$1.33
Record
35%
390-738 (1128)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.32
Value
β
PnL
-$1.32
Record
38%
449-718 (1167)