Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Up 77%
1 arb excluded
$883.6
$24.49
Smart Money Signal
11 of 15 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BL blue.birds | Upavg 52.2¢ | $244.38 | $267.52 | +$23.14 | 52% 3476-3233 (6709) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.3¢ | $139.56 | $141.76 | +$2.21 | 53% 931-840 (1771) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 41.1¢ | $58.28 | $141.76 | +$83.49 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.3¢ | $81.28 | — | -$81.28 | |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 30.3¢ | $80.05 | $147.44 | +$67.39 | 49% 3158-3267 (6425) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.5¢ | $134.71 | $136.78 | +$2.08 | 98% 1462-31 (1493) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 50.6¢ | $77.06 | — | -$77.06 | 45% 722-869 (1591) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 51.3¢ | $43.27 | $59.4 | +$16.13 | 57% 4217-3173 (7390) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 69.9¢ | $50.14 | $37.38 | -$6.2 | 62% 1585-980 (2565) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 53.9¢ | $33.65 | $36.81 | +$3.16 | 65% 1384-737 (2121) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 56.3¢ | $14.07 | $25 | +$10.93 | 75% 563-190 (753) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $7.45 | $14.59 | +$7.14 | 39% 547-873 (1420) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $4.7 | $10 | +$5.3 | 53% 851-764 (1615) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $3.8 | $6.91 | +$3.11 | 60% 971-647 (1618) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $4.2 | — | -$4.2 | 38% 449-718 (1167) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 48.4¢ | $29.05 | — | -$29.05 | 48% 745-806 (1551) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $4.7 | — | +$2.61 | 58% 1473-1061 (2534) |
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0.01 | — 5-0 (5) |
Invested
$244.38
Value
$267.52
PnL
+$23.14
Record
52%
3476-3233 (6709)
Invested
$139.56
Value
$141.76
PnL
+$2.21
Record
53%
931-840 (1771)
Both legs:
Invested
$80.05
Value
$147.44
PnL
+$67.39
Record
49%
3158-3267 (6425)
Invested
$134.71
Value
$136.78
PnL
+$2.08
Record
98%
1462-31 (1493)
Invested
$77.06
Value
—
PnL
-$77.06
Record
45%
722-869 (1591)
Invested
$43.27
Value
$59.4
PnL
+$16.13
Record
57%
4217-3173 (7390)
Invested
$50.14
Value
$37.38
PnL
-$6.2
Record
62%
1585-980 (2565)
Invested
$33.65
Value
$36.81
PnL
+$3.16
Record
65%
1384-737 (2121)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$14.07
Value
$25
PnL
+$10.93
Record
75%
563-190 (753)
Invested
$7.45
Value
$14.59
PnL
+$7.14
Record
39%
547-873 (1420)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$4.7
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.3
Record
53%
851-764 (1615)
Invested
$3.8
Value
$6.91
PnL
+$3.11
Record
60%
971-647 (1618)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$4.2
Value
—
PnL
-$4.2
Record
38%
449-718 (1167)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$29.05
Value
—
PnL
-$29.05
Record
48%
745-806 (1551)
Invested
$4.7
Value
—
PnL
+$2.61
Record
58%
1473-1061 (2534)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0.01
Record
—
5-0 (5)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
blue.birds
Up — $267.52
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
asdcaxz
Up — $147.44
hoodquant
Up — $136.78
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0
Hcrystallash
Up — $59.4
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $37.38
asdaefef
Up — $36.81
BoneOhio
Up — $25
antsaslyku
Up — $14.59