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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 55%

Total Value

$142.91

Combined PnL

-$87.81

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders

Total Value$142.91

Total Shares143

Combined PnL-$24.44

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares199

Combined PnL-$63.37

Down — 45%Up — 55%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 97¢	$45.53	$44	-$1.53	37% 413-690 (1103)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Downavg 81.7¢	$61.05	$37.53	-$21.95	49% 3117-3227 (6344)
BL blue.birds<$100	Downavg 75.4¢	$37.74	$35	-$2.74	52% 3430-3194 (6624)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 46.1¢	$29.47	—	-$29.47	45% 694-845 (1539)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 85.5¢	$13.9	$16.26	+$2.36	65% 1333-709 (2042)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 89¢	$11.1	$10.11	-$0.59	62% 1526-942 (2468)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	Upavg 48.3¢	$7.84	—	-$7.84	48% 1056-1134 (2190)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 41¢	$5.33	—	-$5.33	45% 712-884 (1596)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 20.1¢	$9.08	—	-$9.08	53% 897-807 (1704)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 7¢	$1.4	—	-$1.4	34% 362-713 (1075)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 25.2¢	$10.25	—	-$10.25	48% 718-774 (1492)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$45.53

Value

$44

PnL

-$1.53

Record

37%

413-690 (1103)

Invested

$61.05

Value

$37.53

PnL

-$21.95

Record

49%

3117-3227 (6344)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$37.74

Value

$35

PnL

-$2.74

Record

52%

3430-3194 (6624)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$29.47

Value

—

PnL

-$29.47

Record

45%

694-845 (1539)

Invested

$13.9

Value

$16.26

PnL

+$2.36

Record

65%

1333-709 (2042)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$11.1

Value

$10.11

PnL

-$0.59

Record

62%

1526-942 (2468)

38791873984189CTR<$100

Invested

$7.84

Value

—

PnL

-$7.84

Record

48%

1056-1134 (2190)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$5.33

Value

—

PnL

-$5.33

Record

45%

712-884 (1596)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$9.08

Value

—

PnL

-$9.08

Record

53%

897-807 (1704)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$1.4

Value

—

PnL

-$1.4

Record

34%

362-713 (1075)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$10.25

Value

—

PnL

-$10.25

Record

48%

718-774 (1492)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x01a1175c...056087

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1794377100

Traders in this Market

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $44

asdcaxz

Down — $37.53

blue.birds

Down — $35

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $0

asdaefef

Down — $16.26

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $10.11

38791873984189

Up — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $0

ply-pm2

Up — $0

pspspsps5

Up — $0

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