Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Down β but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
9
Down 50%
$40.55
-$91.07
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 24.8Β’ | $28.4 | β | -$28.4 | 49% 3117-3227 (6344) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 43Β’ | $31.42 | β | -$31.42 | 45% 694-845 (1539) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 23.3Β’ | $41.17 | β | -$34.97 | 52% 3430-3194 (6624) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 66.5Β’ | $8.88 | $13.35 | +$4.47 | 65% 1333-709 (2042) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 49.4Β’ | $10.07 | β | -$10.07 | 53% 897-807 (1704) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $9.1 | $10.2 | +$1.1 | 62% 1526-942 (2468) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 55Β’ | $6.6 | $12 | +$5.4 | 57% 4204-3155 (7359) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 98Β’ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 60% 927-624 (1551) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 25Β’ | $8.7 | β | +$2.72 | 58% 1420-1016 (2436) |
Invested
$28.4
Value
β
PnL
-$28.4
Record
49%
3117-3227 (6344)
Invested
$31.42
Value
β
PnL
-$31.42
Record
45%
694-845 (1539)
Invested
$41.17
Value
β
PnL
-$34.97
Record
52%
3430-3194 (6624)
Invested
$8.88
Value
$13.35
PnL
+$4.47
Record
65%
1333-709 (2042)
Invested
$10.07
Value
β
PnL
-$10.07
Record
53%
897-807 (1704)
Invested
$9.1
Value
$10.2
PnL
+$1.1
Record
62%
1526-942 (2468)
Invested
$6.6
Value
$12
PnL
+$5.4
Record
57%
4204-3155 (7359)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
60%
927-624 (1551)
Invested
$8.7
Value
β
PnL
+$2.72
Record
58%
1420-1016 (2436)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
asdcaxz
CTRDown β $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown β $0
blue.birds
CTRDown β $0
asdaefef
Up β $13.35
ply-pm2
CTRDown β $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $10.2
Hcrystallash
Up β $12
asidjasiodja
Up β $5
ByteBadger92
CTRDown β $0