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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

16

Up 60%

Total Value

$210.27

Combined PnL

-$293.09

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 16 top traders (56%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares628
Combined PnL-$309.73
Down7 traders
Total Value$210.27
Total Shares210
Combined PnL+$16.64
Up — 56%Down — 44%
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR
Up

Invested

$118.8

Value

—

PnL

-$118.8

Record

51%

877-838 (1715)

BL
blue.birds
Down

Invested

$119.01

Value

$113.14

PnL

-$5.88

Record

52%

3416-3175 (6591)

AS
asdcaxzCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$89.78

Value

—

PnL

-$75.23

Record

49%

3098-3207 (6305)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Down

Invested

$63.67

Value

$64.62

PnL

+$0.95

Record

98%

1408-30 (1438)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$64.64

Value

—

PnL

-$64.64

Record

53%

882-792 (1674)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Down

Invested

$6.79

Value

$15.79

PnL

+$9

Record

45%

680-835 (1515)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$22.78

Value

$11.57

PnL

+$5.43

Record

62%

1494-928 (2422)

BoneOhioCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$7.2

Value

—

PnL

-$7.2

Record

74%

517-177 (694)

BY
ByteBadger92<$100
Down

Invested

$13.1

Value

$3.33

PnL

+$6.03

Record

58%

1397-994 (2391)

Polkadot-Frog<$100
Down

Invested

$0.71

Value

$1.82

PnL

+$1.11

Record

53%

815-736 (1551)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$18.15

Value

—

PnL

-$18.15

Record

44%

697-874 (1571)

ohioismCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$9.3

Value

—

PnL

-$9.3

Record

48%

708-758 (1466)

MO
mo-moneyCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.1

Value

—

PnL

-$2.1

Record

44%

451-577 (1028)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.26

Value

—

PnL

-$1.26

Record

60%

908-618 (1526)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$13.05

Value

—

PnL

-$13.05

Record

65%

1307-699 (2006)

0X
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723b<$100
Down

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

—

5-0 (5)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xbf31f5e2...23746d
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1794372000

Traders in this Market

0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Up — $0

-$118.8
BL

blue.birds

Down — $113.14

-$5.88
AS

asdcaxz

CTR

Up — $0

-$75.23
HO

hoodquant

Down — $64.62

+$0.95
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$64.64
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $15.79

+$9
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $11.57

+$5.43

BoneOhio

CTR

Up — $0

-$7.2
BY

ByteBadger92

Down — $3.33

+$6.03

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $1.82

+$1.11
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