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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Resolved Down. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

15

Up 50%

Total Value

$295.26

Combined PnL

-$421.41

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 15 top traders (53%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares556

Combined PnL-$472.27

Down7 traders

Total Value$295.26

Total Shares295

Combined PnL+$50.86

Up — 53%Down — 47%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR	Upavg 56.7¢	$238.13	—	-$238.13	51% 877-838 (1715)
AS asdcaxz	Downavg 54.9¢	$154.59	$181.93	+$27.49	49% 3098-3207 (6305)
BL blue.birdsCTR	Upavg 46.8¢	$113.04	—	-$113.04	52% 3416-3175 (6591)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 51.6¢	$63.68	—	-$63.68	53% 882-792 (1674)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 48¢	$24	$50	+$26	45% 680-835 (1515)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 92.3¢	$50.1	$31.32	-$11.98	62% 1494-928 (2422)
BO bosona<$100	Downavg 75¢	$19.73	$15.91	-$3.82	50% 3677-3707 (7384)
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100	Upavg 61.3¢	$41.76	—	-$40.84	57% 4197-3150 (7347)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 38¢	$4.77	$7.55	+$2.78	65% 1307-699 (2006)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 24¢	$1.68	$7	+$5.32	60% 908-618 (1526)
BY ByteBadger92<$100	Downavg 27¢	$16.6	$1.55	+$5.07	58% 1397-994 (2391)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 51.2¢	$10.24	—	-$10.24	44% 697-874 (1571)
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100	Upavg 52¢	$1.03	—	-$1.03	44% 451-577 (1028)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 76¢	$5.32	—	-$5.32	37% 402-671 (1073)
0X 0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	— 5-0 (5)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR

Invested

$238.13

Value

—

PnL

-$238.13

Record

51%

877-838 (1715)

Invested

$154.59

Value

$181.93

PnL

+$27.49

Record

49%

3098-3207 (6305)

Invested

$113.04

Value

—

PnL

-$113.04

Record

52%

3416-3175 (6591)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$63.68

Value

—

PnL

-$63.68

Record

53%

882-792 (1674)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$24

Value

$50

PnL

+$26

Record

45%

680-835 (1515)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$50.1

Value

$31.32

PnL

-$11.98

Record

62%

1494-928 (2422)

Invested

$19.73

Value

$15.91

PnL

-$3.82

Record

50%

3677-3707 (7384)

HcrystallashCTR<$100

Invested

$41.76

Value

—

PnL

-$40.84

Record

57%

4197-3150 (7347)

Invested

$4.77

Value

$7.55

PnL

+$2.78

Record

65%

1307-699 (2006)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$1.68

Value

$7

PnL

+$5.32

Record

60%

908-618 (1526)

ByteBadger92<$100

Invested

$16.6

Value

$1.55

PnL

+$5.07

Record

58%

1397-994 (2391)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$10.24

Value

—

PnL

-$10.24

Record

44%

697-874 (1571)

mo-moneyCTR<$100

Invested

$1.03

Value

—

PnL

-$1.03

Record

44%

451-577 (1028)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$5.32

Value

—

PnL

-$5.32

Record

37%

402-671 (1073)

0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

—

5-0 (5)

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 15 top traders (53%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xd0dc0d89...60ac3a

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1794371700

Traders in this Market

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $0

asdcaxz

Down — $181.93

blue.birds

Up — $0

ply-pm2

Up — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $50

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $31.32

bosona

Down — $15.91

Hcrystallash

Up — $0

asdaefef

Down — $7.55

asidjasiodja

Down — $7

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